Blog posts about specific baseball cards--images of the card itself and info about the player and his career--and commentary about baseball in general.
Showing posts with label American. Show all posts
Showing posts with label American. Show all posts
Thursday, December 29, 2016
Jake Stahl, Boston Red Sox Manager, M101-2 Sporting News Supplement October 24, 1912
Photo: from my collection
Just a quick post before my year-end comments. I'm posting this as a tip of the cap to my better half, who got me this for Christmas. I've wanted this for a few months now. It's a helluva image, and he's a former Red Sox manager and player besides. And doesn't he look thrilled?!?
I have six of these now. I'll maybe put them in one post sometime. These are awesome, huge sepia-toned photos of players and managers, owners and league presidents, from 1909 to 1913. They were supplements in The Sporting News, which is a large, newspaper / magazine-sized publication that started in the 1880s and is still around now. (It's still a big publication, too.)
They were printed on very fine, thin paper and inserted in the publication.You can find them now only on ebay and specialty websites and stores. They don't have a fixed value, pretty much whatever you'll pay for them, though of course the ones of Hall of Famers or the ones in the best condition will be worth more. They're rare enough that you can go to ebay, put in the player's name, and M101 Sporting News Supplement, and click the box for "sold listings," and you'll get it. (This one was $42.) You can't do that with any card made, say, since the 1950s. There's just too many of them, even of specific cards. These M101-2s aren't cards, of course, but they're sold and collected that way, and will be listed in comprehensive catalogs of baseball cards, especially vintage ones. They're blank-backed.
Jake Stahl had an interesting time of it, too. He won the 1912 World Series with the Boston Red Sox (Which had ended just a few weeks before this photo was published. Was it taken during the World Series? Would a manager look as dour as this during the Series?), and then was fired / quit the very next year. He had better things to do than to be insulted by the players and owners: He had a full-time job as part-owner of a large bank with his father-in-law, which paid a heckuva lot better than what he was making from baseball. He'd already left baseball once, the year before, and he happily left it again. But actual happiness was not to be. He had a breakdown in 1920 and went to a sanitarium in California, where he never recovered. In fact, he contracted tuberculosis and died from that in 1922, just 10 years after this photo was taken.
This from the Society for American Baseball Research, at sabr.org. The full address is here.
In 1903, Jake played 40 games as a rookie catcher behind Cy Young-favorite Lou Criger. He did not play in the subsequent 1903 World Series, and his keen disappointment at missing that opportunity became one of the key forces driving him throughout the remainder of his playing career.
In 1912, Jake skillfully managed the famous “Speed Boys” to an American League pennant-winning 105-47 season record. Ninety-eight seasons later, the 1912 won-lost season record still stands as the best in Red Sox history. His Boston team subsequently won the 1912 World Series from the McGraw-led New York Giants.
Garland Stahl was born on April 13, 1879, in Elkhart, Illinois, the third son of Henry and Eliza Stahl. Henry was a front-line Union veteran of the Civil War who survived the horrors of the bloodbath at Shiloh. After the war, Henry and Eliza opened a thriving general store in Elkhart. In naming her third son, Eliza used the name of one of her brothers-in-law, Garland.
After graduating from high school (which at that time went only to the 10th grade) and working at the family store, Stahl enrolled at the University of Illinois. His fraternity brothers nicknamed him Jake. University of Illinois football coach George Huff (who briefly managed Boston in 1907) encouraged him to try out for the team.
With forward passes not allowed yet, no offensive/defensive specialization employed, and only rudimentary protective equipment used, the resulting two-way game was particularly brutal. As he matured physically, Jake became both an outstanding running back on offense and a smart, quick lineman on defense. He had his best year as a junior in 1901, when he was named to the All-Western Conference football team. He was named captain of the Illinois football team in 1902. In his first formal leadership position, Jake was required to address not only his personal needs but the needs of the entire team. It was a skill he would continue to hone throughout both his baseball and subsequent banking career.
Huff also coached baseball at the University and encouraged Jake to join his highly successful squad. As the starting catcher, Jake batted .441 his sophomore year, and in his senior campaign, led Illinois to a Western Conference Championship.
Exhibiting an outstanding ability to organize and focus his efforts, Jake graduated with a law degree in 1903. Although his athletic and classroom activities clearly were his first priorities, Jake was no social wallflower in college. The University of Illinois yearbooks of the time contain two references to Jake’s social activities, including a poem describing his carriage ride with a young woman named Clara. Jake met his future wife, Jennie Mahan, at the university.
In the spring of 1903, as Boston suffered a potentially debilitating blow to their pennant hopes with the injury of their backup catcher “Duke” Farrell, team owner Henry Killilea hurriedly traveled to Chicago to sign Jake to an American League contract on the playing field immediately after a late-season university ballgame. Jake got into his first game on Opening Day and appeared in 40 games as a catcher for Boston in 1903, hitting .239. More importantly, Jake’s work enabled Boston to keep Criger fresh for the postseason. As noted, Jake himself did not play in the 1903 World Series. When pinch-hitting opportunities arose in both Games One and Four, Collins twice used the still-recovering Farrell (who had played in only 17 games the entire season) and the veteran outfielder Jack O’Brien (who hit .210 in 1903.) Jake’s personal disappointment was a key factor that helped shape the rest of his professional baseball career.
With Farrell fully recovered, Boston no longer needed Jake as a backup catcher. Ban Johnson, however, grateful for Jake’s role in Boston’s successful 1903 season (Boston’s World Series victory ensured the long-term viability of his new American League), envisioned Jake achieving long-term baseball success as first baseman. During the winter of 1903-04, Boston shipped Jake to the floundering Washington franchise. Johnson was in charge of the team until suitable owners could be found and converted Jake into a first baseman. He appeared in 142 games and finished the year with a .262 batting average, three home runs, and 50 RBIs. Even by Deadfall Era standards, these numbers were not exceptional, yet Stahl led the woeful (38-113) Nationals in all three categories.
In 1905, Johnson promoted Jake to manager. Having just turned 26 years old the day before the season began, he became the youngest player-manager in American League history. Employing the inclusive management style he used in college, Jake quickly won the support of the team’s veteran players. Coupled with a focused disciplinary approach emphasizing direct out-of-public-view communication with offenders, punctuated by demonstrations of potential physical force, Jake led the 1905 squad to 64-87 record. For a short time early in the season, Jake even had the team in first place. When the team returned from a successful road trip, Washington gave the team a rousing parade and celebratory dinner. More importantly, Johnson found new owners for the shaky Washington franchise. Stahl had become, in the words of one observer, “popular with the players, and so well liked by the club owners that it has been officially announced that he can retain his present berth until he voluntarily resigns.” In the offseason, Jake married his college sweetheart, the daughter of highly-successful businessman Henry Weston Mahan.
In 1906, however, things fell apart for Jake and the Nationals. Popular shortstop Joe Cassidy unexpectedly died of typhus at the beginning of the season and the team fell into a tailspin, finishing 55-95. Upset by the death of his close friend and consumed with trying to right the fast-sinking team, Jake completely lost his personal focus, finishing with the worst batting average of his career, .222. Jake took personal blame for the team’s disappointing 1907 performance, noting, “If I’d been able to hit .300 this year, as many of my friends predicted, we’d have been up in the first division, but I was a frost.”
The frustrated Washington owners replaced Jake as their manager during the 1906-1907 offseason, urging him to concentrate on playing first base. Seeing the team transition that Boston was undertaking, Jake asked to be traded back to Boston. Washington management declined, trading him instead to the Chicago White Sox. Jake refused to report and spent the 1907 season working in his father-in-law’s bank, managing the University of Indiana’s baseball team, and playing semiprofessional baseball in Chicago.
In 1908, Chicago traded Jake to Clark Griffith’s New York Highlanders. When Griffith resigned in midseason, Jake was traded back to Boston to play first base. As the future Boston stars (Wood, Speaker, Hooper, Lewis, Gardner) developed, the hard-hitting Stahl anchored the Boston lineup from 1908-1910. In 1910, Jake led the American League with 10 home runs and ranked fourth best in RBIs (77) and triples (16). He also stole 22 bases.
Despite his baseball success, Jake’s off-the-field banking successes were even greater and paid more. Given the financial uncertainties associated with a baseball career at the time and the fact that he had just started a family, Jake opted to retire. He served as vice president of the Washington Park National Bank on Chicago’s South Side. Attempts to lure him back to baseball in 1911 were fruitless.
After a change in ownership late in the disappointing 1911 season, new Red Sox team president Jimmy McAleer convinced Jake to come out of retirement. Both he and his father-in-law became part-owners of the club, Jake becoming the player-manager-owner of a talented but uninspired Boston club. Jake signed a two-year contract. Using the same inclusive management and disciplinary styles he used earlier in Washington, he effectively focused the previously-uninspired team. Boston ran away with the 1912 American League pennant. Jake finished the year with a career-high .301 batting average. Facing the New York Giants in the 1912 World Series, Jake both outplayed the Giants’ Merkle at first base, and, according to Connie Mack, consistently out-managed McGraw. Jake invested his winning World Series share in his father-in-law’s Chicago banks.
In 1913, Boston started slowly and Jake suffered a serious foot injury requiring the removal of part of a bone in his right foot. Although he continued to manage the team, he could not play first base. Within a tense atmosphere of newspaper reports claiming internal dissension within the team and rumors that Jake would replace him as team president, Boston president McAleer publicly demanded that Jake return to first base.
Upset that he was being publicly portrayed in the newspapers as somehow losing control of his team, conniving for personal gain, and shirking his first-base playing duties, Jake met McAleer in Chicago during a July road trip. In the heat of the moment, the Boston president released him, paying off the remainder of his contract.
McAleer’s hasty action was immediately condemned by much of the baseball community, including Ban Johnson, who called the move “hasty and ill-advised.” Bill Carrigan, one of the players that Jake often consulted with, was named the new Boston manager. In October, Jake announced he was through with baseball. Later that offseason, as part of another Boston front office change, McAleer himself was released as president.
For his nine-year major league career, Jake posted a .261 batting average with 894 hits, which included 149 doubles, 87 triples, and 31 home runs. He also stole 178 bases, with his single-season high of 41 in 1906.
Jake immediately began his second career as a full-time banker. With his father-in-law serving as president, Jake became vice-president and board member of Washington Park National Bank. Jake continued as vice-president until he assumed the presidency of Washington Park in 1919.
During his years of involvement, he put in long hours at the bank, helping it more than double its deposits in three years. But the hard work came with a heavy price: in 1920, Jake suffered a nervous breakdown and was placed in a Monrovia, California, sanitarium. Though he spent two years in California, Jake’s health gradually worsened and he contracted tuberculosis. With his wife and son at his bedside, Jake died on September 18, 1922. He was just 43 years old.
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Sox 4 Games Out on 6.26.16
Photo: from the great Sox/Giants game on 6.7.16. This is just after Chris Young contorted himself by somehow moving his arm out of the way, mid-slide, to avoid a tag by Brandon Belt. Ortiz was out at first, but by staying out of the double play, the tying run scored.
In fact:
--no offense will literally score 6+ runs every game, especially when the starting pitching puts it into a deep hole right away. I think this offense could be better than it is--and not leave the bases loaded in the bottom of the ninth without scoring--but it won't if it feels pressure to do too much in every at-bat. A player will hit better when there's no stress or pressure on him--but there is pressure on him if his starter has given up a few runs in the first or second inning already. That's why the Sox won so many games last month: they scored in the first inning constantly and put pressure on the other team. Now other teams are doing that to the Sox.
--and that's not the fault of the offense. Sure, this offense has had some blips, especially the White Sox / Wright game, which actually was the offense's fault, as Wright pitched 9 great innings. But that was an anomaly. (And the White Sox left the bases loaded twice without scoring while losing a later game.) Simply put, the bad starting pitching has put more pressure on the offense, which tightens the batters up and makes them worse.
--if the starting pitching improves, the offense will improve.
So how to make the starting pitching improve?
The face and stats make it clear that the answer isn't this guy:
(Photo from my own camera. Saw this on my DVRed game on NESN and I couldn't resist.)
So who is the answer?
Well, I was in Pawtucket today, to watch who may be the only answer there: Henry Owens. Sadly, he continues to do the same thing: 2-0 and 3-1 on everybody, thereby becoming predictable and giving up lots of hits and walks and throwing too many pitches, and he's out of the game before the end of the 5th. (See: Eduardo Rodriguez and Clay Buchholz.)
He's not the answer, and won't be. He's been given a few years of chances and he hasn't changed. This pains me to say, as I have an autographed and slabbed RC of his, but it is what it is. He won't be any better than he is. I hope he proves me wrong in his September call-up, but he won't. Again. This is especially bad because his performances don't even make him good trade bait. He might be enticing for someone who wants to deal a reliever, or some bench help, but you won't get starting pitching for him.
So who can bring a top-flight starter?
Well, Bogaerts, Betts or Bradley could, but no way do you trade any of these guys. They'll bring butts to the stands even if the Sox aren't making the playoffs. These guys are All-Star caliber core players for many years, as they're all young and cheap. None of them are making more than $600,000 this year. (As opposed to Sandoval, who's getting $17 million this year not to play at all.) In baseball economics, they are very cheap, and will be until 2020. So they stay. So who?
Nobody wants Rusney Castillo, of course. He hit a seeing-eye single today and made a nice running catch, his back to the plate--but he also threw to third when he had no shot at the guy, thereby allowing the batter to get to second base. That reminded me of Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own, who told a sobbing woman she can't throw to third and allow another runner (the tying run in the movie) to reach second base. If he knew that, wouldn't a star of the Cuban League, who's been playing ball all of his adult life? That's the kind of basic knowledge Jerry Remy said Castillo didn't have, and he said it last year. Castillo is a $70+ million waste of a Triple-A roster spot. That especially sucks because I have his rookie card in gem 10 condition. (Anybody want it?)
I would've said a package of Swihart (who can hit, and play left and catch decently) and Brock Holt and Rutledge may have been enough to send to the cash-strapped A's (Billy Beane loves cheap versatility) for Rich Hill, but all of those guys are injured, and nobody's desperate enough to take three guys just off the DL. (By the way, check out how well Hill is doing, and see the blog I wrote at the end of last year, saying the Sox were crazy to let him go, and for nothing!) Maybe they can get better and play really well before the Trade Deadline at the end of next month, but that's a lot to ask.
That package isn't enough for Sonny Gray, but I'm not interested in him, anyway. Though Hill is in his mid-30s, he's a resurging junkballer, and those guys can pitch into their early-40s. I think Sonny Gray is damaged goods and is looking at his best days in the rearview mirror.
It's a long shot, but I'd be willing to part with Hanley Ramirez, but he's not cheap, so the A's wouldn't want him. But how about him and all of the aforementioned guys, and a lot of money, to the Marlins for Jose Fernandez? Ramirez likes Miami, but they've probably tired of him there. Remember when the Sox traded him there for Josh Beckett and a throw-in named Mike Lowell? That trade won 2007.
Well, I hate to say it, but for a #1 or #2 starter, you're going to have to deal away Andrew Benintendi and / or Yoan Moncada. Certainly these guys--and even one of these guys--are too good to part with for the likes of Rich Hill, but they are good enough chips to get a solid #2 or even a #1 on a really bad team. I'd rather trade these maybes than the definite Yeses of Bogaerts, Betts and Bradley any day. Remember how Brian Rose and Carl Pavano were the best young starters in all of baseball, and the Sox traded them both for Pedro Martinez? Do you remember that local fans at the time were in an uproar? But how did that turn out?
Unfortunately here, it's a lot easier to trade starting pitching for starting pitching, than it is to trade an infielder and an outfielder for starting pitching, but it's still doable. Benintendi and Moncada are thought of so highly in baseball that they could swing a #1. If the Sox are going to land one, these guys (or, hopefully, just one of these guys, and don't ask me which one) are going to have to be flipped. It's worth doing, especially for a good pitcher who's still decently young, and under some control.
If the Sox were to turn them both over for Fernandez--who the Marlins are rumored to be dealing--that would be a helluva thing. They're cash-strapped, too, and certainly a combination of Benintendi and / or Moncada, plus Hanley Ramirez, Swihart and either Holt or Rutledge would get Fernandez from Miami. Maybe throw Christian Vazquez, too, as much as I like his defense. But he's never going to hit, and I'm not as happy with his pitch-calling and strike-framing as others are.
Anyway, to get a #1 or a #2, I would try to do these.
Until then, the starters need to walk fewer, keep their pitches down, get ahead in the count and stop being so predictable. The offense needs to hit with RISP and do all those little things that haven't been done consistently since that game mentioned in the beginning of this (long) blog entry.
By the way, notice how the slide started when the Sox lost Carson Smith for the season, and Brock Holt for over 6 weeks? Brock Holt is the player the sabermetricians don't have a stat for, but he gels this offense, and does every single little thing very well. I saw him today, too. He got on base 3 times.
Time to call him up.
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Friday, March 13, 2015
Red Sox 2015 Spring So Far, and My Picks
Some quick points--
--Remember, it's just the Spring. I haven't seen a spring that really meant anything for the regular season since 1984, when the Tigers steamrolled through their spring and then started the Regular Season 35-5, thereby ending the race in June.
--Having said that, the Sox have looked good. Or, more accurately, they haven't looked bad. Everyone's hitting decently and nobody besides Rusney has gotten injured.
--In a weak-looking American League East, the Sox could win the division.
--Or, with injuries, they could finish last. Who knows?
--I'm sorry to lose David Ross, but he wasn't getting younger, and the Sox need to see what Swihart and company can do. The backup they got to replace Ross looks just as good defensively.
--Not sorry to see Middlebrooks go, especially since his stupid selfie took Jenny Dell away from us for awhile. And, oh yeah, he wasn't hitting or fielding well. And he did get in the way of the runner.
--Very surprised, and very glad, to hear that Jenny Dell is returning. Figured she'd go to CA with him, since they're married and all.
--And here's to hoping that all that sordidness is behind us now, and Jerry Remy can laugh again.
--The ones to watch this spring are Brock Holt, Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley, Weeks, Victorino and the newest outfielders, Rusney and Moncada. I know Panda and Ramirez will hit. In the later innings of games they're ahead, Holt or Betts will take over for Hanley in left.
--Gold-glove Jackie Bradley is the odd man out in the outfield, since he's defense-only at this point, and Holt can play the outfield and infield. And Holt's still getting on base. Bradley is, too, but he did at this time last year as well, and for about a month thereafter. But then the wheels came off.
--And Daniel Nava should be looking over his shoulder, too. He can spell at first, but so can Holt (surprisingly, for his size), and Nava's not going to be a defensive replacement in the outfield. So if he's not starting, he's not playing at all. Nava is an excellent three-quarters of-the-year player (see: two years ago, when he was in the top-10 in average and OBP), but even then he never saw the playoffs.
--Two new outfielders brand new in the country just got about $100 million between them. There's a great hitter in left, GG-caliber Victorino in right, and Betts (a GG-caliber guy himself who gets on base), or Rusney Castillo when he gets healthy, or Moncada, or Brock Holt (who's almost GG-caliber himself sometimes) or Weeks in center. So, where exactly is Nava to play, except to spell Napoli at first. And what if Napoli is healthy again? I like Nava, but...Bradley, Moncada and Castillo all open in Pawtucket (or Providence?!?) this year--and all three are potential Gold Glove winners. And Moncada and Castillo are at least very good hitters. And there are too many outfielders even without those guys. If I'm Nava, I don't buy another house around here.
--Though he probably stays around if Napoli never gets fully healthy. Might see a platoon there.
--It should also be said that great three-quarters players like Nava have much better careers in the NL. Like in Philly, for example.
--Pedroia looks revitalized to me. Hopefully his hands and fingers stay healthy.
--Not having an ace is not the worst thing in the world. But Cole Hamels probably nails down the division for them.
--A trade for Hamels probably means Bogaerts and Betts and someone else from the outfield leaves, maybe Bradley if someone needs a GG-fourth outfielder, which NL teams often do, especially if the pitcher's spot comes up in the late innings. If that happens, Nava still probably doesn't have a job, as Ramirez, Victorino, one or both of the newest guys, and Brock Holt are still around. (Holt might go in that trade as well.)
--With this many pitchers who pitch to contact this year, the Sox infield had best be flawless.
--And I don't know that such a staff goes too far in the postseason, where firepower generally rules.
--Unless you're Detroit.
--Late-inning relief looks a little iffy, but I wouldn't be surprised if Uehara or one of the newest guys steps it up and does well. Mujica, I'm guessing, is gone as part of a trade.
--Betts and Holt are the lead-off batters this year. Victorino, Pedroia or Weeks in a pinch. But there's no shortage of table-setters this year.
--Pencil Big Papi in for 25-30 and 90-100 this year. But his 40/125 years are over.
--Youkilis and Manny are two more ex-patriots working for the Cubs this year, for those keeping track. Now, with the Dodgers, there are two NL Red Sox teams this year. Oakland used to be one.
--So...where will Boston finish?
--I don't see Baltimore repeating, though it could. But there seems too much uncertainty, bitterness, and flat-out hostility and strangeness going on there. Even Duquette didn't know if he wanted to come or go. Very odd for a Cinderella team like that to suddenly hate itself. I don't see Adam Jones or Davis producing like that again, at the same time. The relief looks shaky again, especially with Andrew Miller gone to NY (!). Markakis left and wasn't replaced. If they finish in first, it won't be by much. But I don't see it. Baltimore had better start off very well, or it'll implode.
--Toronto could surprise. Nobody outside the offense really stands out, but...they could win 93 games, which might be enough to win this weak division. And it should be said that the Wild Card will not come from the American League East this year.
--The Yankees, who have not replaced Rivera or Jeter, will not do well this year, as they are old, and hefty, and still A-rod-ridden. (And boring to watch. If John Sterling is the most interesting part of your team, that's not good.) A-Rod will be a huge distraction, and will undoubtedly do something to get himself released or suspended. Still, a bad team, and a circus. No, thanks.
--Tampa Bay? Maybe, but doubtful. Often, they were a decent team held together by black masking tape and Joe Maddon. And Maddon leaving tells me there was handwriting on the wall I couldn't see from here. (And the Cubs definitely colluded to get him. Where's that investigation?)
--So...Boston or Toronto or Baltimore finishes first. I'll go with Boston, with reservations. Toronto's second. Baltimore will crash and burn, then right itself when Buck Showalter gives everyone the Death Glare, and micro-manages everyone into submission. And then Dan Duquette will become his socially-endearing self and bore everyone into submission. Baltimore then floats and finishes third, at, or slightly-above, .500. New York will sink to the bottom, then panic and spend billions on over-the-hill but-still-good players and not finish in the basement. Which is where Tampa Bay will be. (Though it could be a flip with those two.)
My picks for the American League East, then:
Boston
Toronto
Baltimore
New York
Tampa Bay
That looks weird, but that's how I see it.
Any thoughts?
--Remember, it's just the Spring. I haven't seen a spring that really meant anything for the regular season since 1984, when the Tigers steamrolled through their spring and then started the Regular Season 35-5, thereby ending the race in June.
--Having said that, the Sox have looked good. Or, more accurately, they haven't looked bad. Everyone's hitting decently and nobody besides Rusney has gotten injured.
--In a weak-looking American League East, the Sox could win the division.
--Or, with injuries, they could finish last. Who knows?
--I'm sorry to lose David Ross, but he wasn't getting younger, and the Sox need to see what Swihart and company can do. The backup they got to replace Ross looks just as good defensively.
--Not sorry to see Middlebrooks go, especially since his stupid selfie took Jenny Dell away from us for awhile. And, oh yeah, he wasn't hitting or fielding well. And he did get in the way of the runner.
--Very surprised, and very glad, to hear that Jenny Dell is returning. Figured she'd go to CA with him, since they're married and all.
--And here's to hoping that all that sordidness is behind us now, and Jerry Remy can laugh again.
--The ones to watch this spring are Brock Holt, Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley, Weeks, Victorino and the newest outfielders, Rusney and Moncada. I know Panda and Ramirez will hit. In the later innings of games they're ahead, Holt or Betts will take over for Hanley in left.
--Gold-glove Jackie Bradley is the odd man out in the outfield, since he's defense-only at this point, and Holt can play the outfield and infield. And Holt's still getting on base. Bradley is, too, but he did at this time last year as well, and for about a month thereafter. But then the wheels came off.
--And Daniel Nava should be looking over his shoulder, too. He can spell at first, but so can Holt (surprisingly, for his size), and Nava's not going to be a defensive replacement in the outfield. So if he's not starting, he's not playing at all. Nava is an excellent three-quarters of-the-year player (see: two years ago, when he was in the top-10 in average and OBP), but even then he never saw the playoffs.
--Two new outfielders brand new in the country just got about $100 million between them. There's a great hitter in left, GG-caliber Victorino in right, and Betts (a GG-caliber guy himself who gets on base), or Rusney Castillo when he gets healthy, or Moncada, or Brock Holt (who's almost GG-caliber himself sometimes) or Weeks in center. So, where exactly is Nava to play, except to spell Napoli at first. And what if Napoli is healthy again? I like Nava, but...Bradley, Moncada and Castillo all open in Pawtucket (or Providence?!?) this year--and all three are potential Gold Glove winners. And Moncada and Castillo are at least very good hitters. And there are too many outfielders even without those guys. If I'm Nava, I don't buy another house around here.
--Though he probably stays around if Napoli never gets fully healthy. Might see a platoon there.
--It should also be said that great three-quarters players like Nava have much better careers in the NL. Like in Philly, for example.
--Pedroia looks revitalized to me. Hopefully his hands and fingers stay healthy.
--Not having an ace is not the worst thing in the world. But Cole Hamels probably nails down the division for them.
--A trade for Hamels probably means Bogaerts and Betts and someone else from the outfield leaves, maybe Bradley if someone needs a GG-fourth outfielder, which NL teams often do, especially if the pitcher's spot comes up in the late innings. If that happens, Nava still probably doesn't have a job, as Ramirez, Victorino, one or both of the newest guys, and Brock Holt are still around. (Holt might go in that trade as well.)
--With this many pitchers who pitch to contact this year, the Sox infield had best be flawless.
--And I don't know that such a staff goes too far in the postseason, where firepower generally rules.
--Unless you're Detroit.
--Late-inning relief looks a little iffy, but I wouldn't be surprised if Uehara or one of the newest guys steps it up and does well. Mujica, I'm guessing, is gone as part of a trade.
--Betts and Holt are the lead-off batters this year. Victorino, Pedroia or Weeks in a pinch. But there's no shortage of table-setters this year.
--Pencil Big Papi in for 25-30 and 90-100 this year. But his 40/125 years are over.
--Youkilis and Manny are two more ex-patriots working for the Cubs this year, for those keeping track. Now, with the Dodgers, there are two NL Red Sox teams this year. Oakland used to be one.
--So...where will Boston finish?
--I don't see Baltimore repeating, though it could. But there seems too much uncertainty, bitterness, and flat-out hostility and strangeness going on there. Even Duquette didn't know if he wanted to come or go. Very odd for a Cinderella team like that to suddenly hate itself. I don't see Adam Jones or Davis producing like that again, at the same time. The relief looks shaky again, especially with Andrew Miller gone to NY (!). Markakis left and wasn't replaced. If they finish in first, it won't be by much. But I don't see it. Baltimore had better start off very well, or it'll implode.
--Toronto could surprise. Nobody outside the offense really stands out, but...they could win 93 games, which might be enough to win this weak division. And it should be said that the Wild Card will not come from the American League East this year.
--The Yankees, who have not replaced Rivera or Jeter, will not do well this year, as they are old, and hefty, and still A-rod-ridden. (And boring to watch. If John Sterling is the most interesting part of your team, that's not good.) A-Rod will be a huge distraction, and will undoubtedly do something to get himself released or suspended. Still, a bad team, and a circus. No, thanks.
--Tampa Bay? Maybe, but doubtful. Often, they were a decent team held together by black masking tape and Joe Maddon. And Maddon leaving tells me there was handwriting on the wall I couldn't see from here. (And the Cubs definitely colluded to get him. Where's that investigation?)
--So...Boston or Toronto or Baltimore finishes first. I'll go with Boston, with reservations. Toronto's second. Baltimore will crash and burn, then right itself when Buck Showalter gives everyone the Death Glare, and micro-manages everyone into submission. And then Dan Duquette will become his socially-endearing self and bore everyone into submission. Baltimore then floats and finishes third, at, or slightly-above, .500. New York will sink to the bottom, then panic and spend billions on over-the-hill but-still-good players and not finish in the basement. Which is where Tampa Bay will be. (Though it could be a flip with those two.)
My picks for the American League East, then:
Boston
Toronto
Baltimore
New York
Tampa Bay
That looks weird, but that's how I see it.
Any thoughts?
Monday, June 9, 2014
Baseball as of June 9, 2014
Photo: Albert Pujols' 2001 Upper Deck Rookie Card
Hard to believe it's been so long! Well, you can see how the Sox's season has gone, so there's not too much for me to add. So a few quick things:
--Last year the Sox supremely overachieved; this year they're supremely underachieving. They weren't as good as they looked last year, and they aren't as bad as they look this year. Both are extremes, and their true ability is the average...
--...but I'll take a World Series-winning year and a subpar year anytime over two ho-hom average years. Gimme two years of 100-62 and 62-100 over two years of 81-81 and 81-81 anytime. The first pair gets you a World Series ring and a good draft pick. The other two? Nothing.
--This year is what last year was supposed to be--a transition year.
--The difference? Last year they had unbelievable comebacks and unbelievable pitching. This year they have mostly good / very good pitching--but not unbelievable--and very few comeback wins. They're simply not hitting with RISP. If they were, at all, they might be in first place in the very mediocre American League East.
--The Sox and the Blue Jays have essentially flip-flopped seasons compared to last year. The Jays should've been great last year and fizzled. With almost exactly the same team, they're excelling. The Sox excelled last year and are floundering this year with essentially the same team--minus Ellsbury, of course.
--But the Jays are not this good. Normally I'd say that they're going to start to sink, but, again, they're the Sox of last year. Ya never know.
--R.A. Dickey so far is having a Tim Wakefield year when Wake would reel off 10-12 straight wins in the mid-90s. Such is the nature of the knuckleball, though to be fair Dickey throws a lot of curves and "fastballs" as well.
--The Yanks may have a decent year, but they won't win the division, and may not even make the playoffs. I'd be surprised if any Wild Card team comes from the A.L. East this year.
--Ellsbury's impact is truly being felt as the Sox flounder. People forget how good offensively he was, and how much his speed effected the pitches Pedroia and Victorino saw. The latter two are great fastball hitters, and that's what they got with Ellsbury on first base. He made everybody else in the lineup better, plus he tired out the pitcher when he threw to first a lot. He also drove in a lot of runs for a leadoff batter, and had good power from the leadoff spot.
--Having said that, I wouldn't have resigned him for more than three or four years, either. The Yanks had better win with him now, because they surely won't with him in the fifth through seventh years of his contract.
--I have a graded NM-MT+ Pujols Upper Deck RC, so I need him to have a monster comeback year.
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