--I said at the beginning of the baseball season (see my baseball blog) that the Sox would finish first or last, depending on their starting pitching. I wasn't wrong, though I didn't expect the offense to be this bad, too.
--Speaking of which: The PawSox moving to Providence (the ProSox?) isn't unheard of. Providence used to have a major league team (the Providence Greys, the first team to win a World Series) and a minor league team (also called the Providence Greys; Babe Ruth played for them for a very short time). The major league Greys had a few Hall of Famers and played in what is now Downtown Olneyville, near Wes's Rib House. The minor league team played a few blocks up Union Avenue, in what is now a residential neighborhood. Easy to spot: a side-street becomes a highway ramp that empties onto Route 10. This side-street is where the minor league park used to be.
--And Providence is a minor league ready city. Plus, it's a minor league city to big league Boston, if you know what I mean.
--Having said that, Pawtucket's McCoy Stadium is not in danger of falling down, and you can't beat the ease of access and the free parking. I go there 10-12 times a summer. A stadium in Providence won't be faster to get to, as Providence is a small city and traffic is terrible. Plus, the parking won't be free, unless the stadium is built with a free parking lot. There otherwise is no place to park in Providence, for anything. It's a park in a garage city, as I guess most cities now are. What happened to all the parking lots?
--The Pawtucket Red Sox, by the way, are now owned by the guys who own the Boston Red Sox. I don't know if this is common now, that the owners of the big league team also own the minor league team, but it's a bad situation. The minors are 100% slaves to the majors already.
--But those guys do know how to make tons of money, and to do so with class. But...
--And it says something that Fenway still sells out (or comes close) for a team that's been in last place (or close to it) for most of the season. Many playoff-bound teams don't draw as well as that. This says something good about what the ownership has done with Fenway. Whatever it is, let's hope they do the same in Providence.
--Maybe a smaller Fenway for the Providence stadium?
Thursday, August 6, 2015
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Shane Victorino
As the dismantling of the 2015 Sox starts (and hopefully doesn't end anytime soon), Shane Victorino gets traded to the Angels for an infielder, Josh Rutledge, nobody's ever heard of outside serious fans, and for good reason. Essentially, Victorino got traded to free up a roster spot for Rusney Castillo, who will finally get a lot of playing time to see if he was worth the 7-year, $70 million-plus investment. So far he's been a bust, in big and small ways.
But let's speak of Victorino. When healthy, he's my kind of player. What he does well when healthy:
--GG defense
--lots of singles and doubles
--lots of walks and HBP (the latter of which he made an art form)
--high OBP
--valuable 1 or 2 guy in the lineup
--first-to-third, stolen base guy
--awesome dugout and clubhouse presence (which can be over-rated, but not in his case)
--good hit-and-run guy because he doesn't strike out a lot
--good small-ball guy; moves the runners along, can bunt, hit to the right side, etc.
--good in the post-season, as his 12 RBIs in the 2013 Postseason and his two World Series rings show
--cheerful, motivational, wants to play every game kind of guy
You may be surprised to know that he was the 7th-best outfielder in all of baseball in 2013, according to his total value number on baseball-reference.com.
The problem is that in the last two years he hasn't been able to be on the field consistently. I doubt he's milking an injury, too; he wants to play. Now he'll get the chance, with a 1st-place team that should make the playoffs. He gets to play with Trout and Pujols, too, and he'll be a valuable 4th outfielder, pinch-runner, late inning defensive replacement kind of guy. If healthy, he can step in to a major role there, too. He's a free agent at the end of this season, so who knows where he'll be next?
But let's speak of Victorino. When healthy, he's my kind of player. What he does well when healthy:
--GG defense
--lots of singles and doubles
--lots of walks and HBP (the latter of which he made an art form)
--high OBP
--valuable 1 or 2 guy in the lineup
--first-to-third, stolen base guy
--awesome dugout and clubhouse presence (which can be over-rated, but not in his case)
--good hit-and-run guy because he doesn't strike out a lot
--good small-ball guy; moves the runners along, can bunt, hit to the right side, etc.
--good in the post-season, as his 12 RBIs in the 2013 Postseason and his two World Series rings show
--cheerful, motivational, wants to play every game kind of guy
You may be surprised to know that he was the 7th-best outfielder in all of baseball in 2013, according to his total value number on baseball-reference.com.
The problem is that in the last two years he hasn't been able to be on the field consistently. I doubt he's milking an injury, too; he wants to play. Now he'll get the chance, with a 1st-place team that should make the playoffs. He gets to play with Trout and Pujols, too, and he'll be a valuable 4th outfielder, pinch-runner, late inning defensive replacement kind of guy. If healthy, he can step in to a major role there, too. He's a free agent at the end of this season, so who knows where he'll be next?
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
1909 T206 HOF George Davis
The Card
Photo: T206 George Davis, front and back.
For those interested, I bought this card for $36.33, including shipping. T206.org says it's been selling recently at about $43, which is a very common value for a Hall of Fame T206 of a nondescript player in Poor condition. (Poor condition T206s of the big boys--Cobb, Young, Walter Johnson, etc.--still run a couple hundred bucks.) Anyway, that's a profit of $6.67. Not much. The Beckett Graded Card Price Guide (7th Ed. 2015) says it's been selling at about $50, which is a little high, on Ebay, anyway. That's a value of $13.67, which is a little better.
I'm just happy to have a T206 HOFer. I have about 15 of those now, most of them in Poor or Good condition, because that's what I can afford, ya know? This card is in good condition, for a Poor.
The Player / The Person
Photo: George Davis, while with the Chicago White Sox, from The Sporting News
Shockingly, the Veterans' Committee got it right when they inducted this guy into the Hall. Normally the Committee's inductions are abysmal, especially players inducted from this era. I've looked at a few of those lately, and when I checked Davis's card in my collection and I looked at his stats (via baseball-reference.com, just click it here to see), I was expecting more of the same.
But I was pleasantly surprised. You may have to know a bit about the time to appreciate Davis's stats. At a glance, they're not impressive. He led the league in an offensive category exactly once: 135 RBIs in 1897 for the New York Giants. (McGraw and Mathewson wouldn't join the Giants until later.) This is a lot, but for the 1890s, pretty common for a league leader. What impressed me a lot more was that between 1904 and 1908, the Chicago White Sox let him play full-time, in most of the team's games, although his offensive stats were way below the league's norms.
There's only one reason possible for this: Defense. From 1890 through 1902, Davis's offensive stats are good, but not great. They are, though, impressively consistent. And consistency in 1890s baseball, for 12 years, is very rare, whether it's offense or defense. The stats will pile up, as they did. So for peak value, Davis was not one of the best players in the league. But in career value, he was.
And then came 1904-1908 with the White Sox, and those rather unimpressive numbers. True, the game changed a little, but those are still bad stats. Why would he still be allowed to play full-time? Could his defense have been that good?
Yes. Turns out, it was.
His overall WAR (wins above replacement; click on the stat on the webpage if you're unfamiliar with it) was higher in 1904, 1905 and 1906 than it had been in any of his more impressive offensive years. This can only be due to his defense. Any dWAR (defensive wins above replacement) in the positive is good. (This happens a shockingly low amount of times, even for good players today.) Anything above 1 is really good; anything above 2 is Gold Glove worthy. Davis was a very good defensive player during his good offensive years (consistently between 1 and 2), but when his offensive skills eroded after 1903, when he sat out, due to problems with injury, salary, and constantly jumping between the Giants and the White Sox, and back (jumping teams was VERY common in the early 1900s, but his case was still odd. Read about it at his Wikipedia page here), he must've realized that if he was going to still play, his defense had to get even better.
And for a few years, it did. His defensive WAR, from 1904-1908, when his offense was terrible: 3.4; 2.8; 3.0; 2.9; 1.3. With his average to below-average offense, but his incredible GG (before there was a Gold Glove Award) defense, his overall WAR from 1904-1908: 7.2; 7.2; 6.3; 4.6 and 2.1. A 5+ is all-star worthy, and his defense alone made him 2 levels above that.
Over his 16-year career, the league averaged a .919 fielding percentage for the positions he played. Davis's fielding percentage was .936. At shortstop, the league's was .923 and his was .940.
If you're defending 17 percentage points higher than everyone else in the league, that's HOF exceptional. Combine that with 1,545 runs scored (56th all-time), 2,665 hits (69th all-time), 453 doubles (100th all-time), 163 triples (33rd all-time), 619 stolen bases (17th all-time), and 1,440 RBIs (63rd all-time), and you're a Hall-of-Fame player. JAWS says he's the 4th-best shortstop of all-time, and that's going head-to-head with Honus Wagner (#1), A-rod (#2) Cal Ripken (#3), Robin Yount (#5), Arky Vaughn (#6), Ernie Banks (#7) and Ozzie Smith (#8). Derek Jeter, if you're curious, is #12, ahead of Barry Larkin, Lou Boudreau, Pee Wee Reese and Bobby Wallace (a contemporary of George Davis's)--but behind Alan Trammel (#11)! [Take a look at Trammel's stats here and you'll be as amazed as I was. I assure you, nobody--including the announcers and players who were around him--realized he was that good. Alan Trammel, shockingly, is wildly deserving of the Hall of Fame. But that's another blog entry for another time.)] All of these guys, by the way, were way above the average HOF shortstop's stats. Normally shortstops can field, or they can hit, but they can't do both.
So why a blog entry about George Davis, who nobody in this generation (and in this century) has ever heard of?
Because he wasn't inducted into the HOF until 1998, and he died in 1940. It came 58 years too late, but finally someone dusted off his stats and saw the HOF.
Well, it started with Bill James, as these sabermetric things often do. I'll let the Wikipedia page tell it:
In a 1995 book, baseball author Bill James referred to Davis as baseball's best player who had not been inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame.[7]Also in 1995, Davis was featured in David Pietrusza's television film "Local Heroes" in the segment "Knocking on Cooperstown's Door."
In 1997, baseball researcher Frederick Ivor-Campbell said that Davis was "the most neglected player of the 19th century. He's definitely the best eligible player not in the Hall, and he's a lot better than a lot of guys already in."[8] Around the same time, Davis was rated the 21st best baseball player of all time in the official baseball encyclopedia, Total Baseball.[8]
Davis was up for a vote before the Hall of Fame's Veterans Committee in 1998. Before the committee voted, sportswriter Dave Anderson wrote an article in The New York Times on Davis's Hall of Fame candidacy. He pointed out the work of Cohoes city historian Walt Lipka, which favorably compared Davis to almost all of the shortstops in the Hall of Fame. Anderson supported Davis's election, saying, "It's as if he were discarded nearly a century ago into a time capsule that was forgotten until now... For too long, George Stacey Davis has been his era's most forgotten best player."[9] He was selected for induction that year.[4]
Prior to his Hall of Fame induction, a Society for American Baseball Research (SABR) chapter in New York put out a call to locate a descendant of Davis to be present at the induction ceremony and announced plans for a historical marker in Cohoes.[10] As a great deal of time had passed since his death, no relatives could be located, but a group of about 50 people from Cohoes traveled to the ceremony in support of Davis.[1]
Me again. I don't know if George Davis was the 21st best player of all-time, but he certainly belongs in the Hall. He was light years better than Phil Rizzuto, Joe Tinker, Rabbit Maranville, and lots of other marginal candidates who probably shouldn't be in the Hall, but who are. Davis got in so late that nobody was around to even honor his plaque.
And why was that? Well, that's not so Hall-of-Fame worthy, but hey, don't judge:
Davis returned to the minor leagues for one season as player-manager of the 1910 Des Moines Boosters.[6] He managed a bowling alley in the early 1910s. He was the Amherst College baseball coach from 1913 to 1918, then he became a car salesman.[3]
The circumstances of his death remained a mystery until baseball historian Lee Allen discovered its details through a campaign to track down historical baseball players, run in part in The Sporting News. Davis was admitted to a Philadelphia mental institution in 1934 suffering from paresis due to tertiary syphilis. He died in the institution in 1940.[3] Davis was survived by his wife Jane, who was said to have been angry at him when he died. They had no children. His wife spent $41 to have him buried within a day at nearby Fernwood Cemetery.
Me again. Yeah, so no kids to have kids to honor his HOF plaque 58 years after he died of syphilis. Of course, you can get syphilis many ways, then and now, but...well, his wife was really pissed at him, and buried him the day after he died, apparently sans wake and funeral. And it was a quickie burial, costing just $41, which sounds to me like someone dug a hole in the cemetery, threw him in, and filled up the hole. Maybe even without a coffin, and definitely without a chaplain or onlookers.
And that pretty much says it all.
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Sox 9-5 So Far; Beat Rays 1-0
It's been awhile, I know. I was going to try to write a blog entry after every ten games, so I'm just four games late doing that. Well, anyway, some thoughts, fourteen games into the season:
--Like everyone else, I like Mookie Betts. He's young, and fast, and he has some pop. He can steal second and third on the same pitch (which I'd never seen before, and I've seen literally over a thousand games), and he can break up the double play like he did today (thereby winning the game, as it was the game's only run). He can run and he can field and he drove in some important runs in the Sox's first few games...
...but, despite the pro-Mookie commercials on NESN all season, he's hovering around .200 and not drawing any walks. His OBP is below .300--and he's the lead-off hitter. He's struck out a lot.
I know it's early, but let's cut the fanfare for now. Maybe he's feeling some pressure--very understandable, if so. If that's the case, let's not play the "Mookie is awesome" commercials. Let's give him a couple of days off, if we can. Let's remember that he's 22 years old.
--And let's give the cheerleading commercials and rave reviews to whom they belong: Brock Holt. He's just as fast, if not faster. He's hitting over .400. He's playing Gold Glove defense in the outfield and in the infield. He made two game-saving plays today against the Rays to preserve the 1-0 win. And he's now the lead-off hitter. So, if there are accolades to be given, let's give them to him.
--The Sox overall are hitting about .238 as a team. That's just a few points higher than the Rays--and the Rays are thought to be the worst-hitting team in the league.
--Speaking of the Rays, Evan Longoria must be wondering what he did to deserve this year.
--But it's nice to see Rocco Baldelli again. (He's coaching first base for the Rays. He played for the Rays and Sox. And he went to school and played ball about half a mile from my house.) Rocco needs to lose the beard, though.
--For those who care, Lou Merloni played ball at PC, just ten miles from here. And Rheal Cormier (who also played for the Sox and Rays) played ball at CCRI, just three miles from here.
--I'm (barely) smart enough to look up some stats before I type them here. For the record, the Sox were a .500 team in 1-0 games last year, and they played more than you and I remember. But I was going to type that they didn't play that many, and the ones they did, they lost. Doesn't it seem that way? But we live in a world of seems.
--Speaking of seems, Ryan Hanigan--the Sox catcher now that Christian Vazquez is out for the year--is hitting well below .200, but with a .400 OBP. I've seen every game this year, and it seems like he's getting one or two hits per game to me. Obviously, he's not. (He did today.) But it seems like he's grounding at least one single up the middle per game. And that two-run homer was a bomb. But he's amongst the league-leaders in walks, with 8, which gives him a .400 OBP. (He's also been hit by a pitch a few times already, including twice in the same game. I'd be surprised if he wasn't among the league-leaders in HBP, too.) And he's throwing runners out and calling a great game. I have no problem with he and the other guy, whoever he is.
--You don't remember his name, either. But he could throw us out at second, no matter where he is.
--Okay, I just looked it up. It's Sandy Leon. Oh, please. You didn't know that, either.
--Junichi Tazawa looks like a new, refreshed guy this year. And he's throwing like it, too. If Ogando can stay as effective as he's been (and he blew away a Rays hitter with the bases loaded today to preserve the 1-0 lead), then the Sox have a potent 7th, 8th and 9th inning tandem with Ogando, Tazawa and Uehara. That bodes well for the playoffs, if they make it.
--The starting pitching is what I thought it would be, so far: pretty good, with occasional blow-ups when they hang their splits and off-speed pitches. All five of these guys have to hit their spots, play north-south-east-west with the strike zone, and not walk anyone. None of them can just rear back and fire it past anyone.
--Having said that, I foresee an overworked bullpen all year long. Especially in the playoffs.
--"Playoffs?!? Playoffs??? Don't talk to me about the playoffs! Playoffs?!?" (Sorry.)
--Hanley Ramirez looks like another Ramirez in left field. And, sometimes, at the plate. (Only the second one there was a compliment, for those not in the know.)
--Victorino doesn't look like he's going to make the whole year, physically. Or, based on his performance. He suddenly looks older and slower.
--Panda needs to lose a little of the heft. His is bigger than Ortiz's.
--And Ortiz needs to do something about his play at the plate. He should take the one-day suspension and work on his swing--and his attitude. (But he's not. He's appealing it. Is there a series coming up soon in a National League park?)
--Having said that, those two check-swings were not strikes. But the past is maybe evening out on him now. The umps must've gotten together over the winter and decided that they'd had enough.
--And Ortiz also looks older and slower at the plate. He's swinging at things he hasn't before. He's not swinging at things he should be. And he's looking mostly overmatched and confused up there.
--The Sox have not lost a series yet. (They split in Baltimore.) They've won every single first-game.
--And they've played well against the Nationals, who're very good, and the Orioles, who could be.
--I haven't seen such poor defense played against the Sox like I have in these first 14 games.
--Nava might be a better first baseman than an outfielder. He picks it out of the dirt really well. He made some fantastic scoops in today's game, including the one that was the last out. But he's not hitting, either.
--The Sox have already shown more hustle this year than they did throughout all of last year.
--Like everyone else, I like Mookie Betts. He's young, and fast, and he has some pop. He can steal second and third on the same pitch (which I'd never seen before, and I've seen literally over a thousand games), and he can break up the double play like he did today (thereby winning the game, as it was the game's only run). He can run and he can field and he drove in some important runs in the Sox's first few games...
...but, despite the pro-Mookie commercials on NESN all season, he's hovering around .200 and not drawing any walks. His OBP is below .300--and he's the lead-off hitter. He's struck out a lot.
I know it's early, but let's cut the fanfare for now. Maybe he's feeling some pressure--very understandable, if so. If that's the case, let's not play the "Mookie is awesome" commercials. Let's give him a couple of days off, if we can. Let's remember that he's 22 years old.
--And let's give the cheerleading commercials and rave reviews to whom they belong: Brock Holt. He's just as fast, if not faster. He's hitting over .400. He's playing Gold Glove defense in the outfield and in the infield. He made two game-saving plays today against the Rays to preserve the 1-0 win. And he's now the lead-off hitter. So, if there are accolades to be given, let's give them to him.
--The Sox overall are hitting about .238 as a team. That's just a few points higher than the Rays--and the Rays are thought to be the worst-hitting team in the league.
--Speaking of the Rays, Evan Longoria must be wondering what he did to deserve this year.
--But it's nice to see Rocco Baldelli again. (He's coaching first base for the Rays. He played for the Rays and Sox. And he went to school and played ball about half a mile from my house.) Rocco needs to lose the beard, though.
--For those who care, Lou Merloni played ball at PC, just ten miles from here. And Rheal Cormier (who also played for the Sox and Rays) played ball at CCRI, just three miles from here.
--I'm (barely) smart enough to look up some stats before I type them here. For the record, the Sox were a .500 team in 1-0 games last year, and they played more than you and I remember. But I was going to type that they didn't play that many, and the ones they did, they lost. Doesn't it seem that way? But we live in a world of seems.
--Speaking of seems, Ryan Hanigan--the Sox catcher now that Christian Vazquez is out for the year--is hitting well below .200, but with a .400 OBP. I've seen every game this year, and it seems like he's getting one or two hits per game to me. Obviously, he's not. (He did today.) But it seems like he's grounding at least one single up the middle per game. And that two-run homer was a bomb. But he's amongst the league-leaders in walks, with 8, which gives him a .400 OBP. (He's also been hit by a pitch a few times already, including twice in the same game. I'd be surprised if he wasn't among the league-leaders in HBP, too.) And he's throwing runners out and calling a great game. I have no problem with he and the other guy, whoever he is.
--You don't remember his name, either. But he could throw us out at second, no matter where he is.
--Okay, I just looked it up. It's Sandy Leon. Oh, please. You didn't know that, either.
--Junichi Tazawa looks like a new, refreshed guy this year. And he's throwing like it, too. If Ogando can stay as effective as he's been (and he blew away a Rays hitter with the bases loaded today to preserve the 1-0 lead), then the Sox have a potent 7th, 8th and 9th inning tandem with Ogando, Tazawa and Uehara. That bodes well for the playoffs, if they make it.
--The starting pitching is what I thought it would be, so far: pretty good, with occasional blow-ups when they hang their splits and off-speed pitches. All five of these guys have to hit their spots, play north-south-east-west with the strike zone, and not walk anyone. None of them can just rear back and fire it past anyone.
--Having said that, I foresee an overworked bullpen all year long. Especially in the playoffs.
--"Playoffs?!? Playoffs??? Don't talk to me about the playoffs! Playoffs?!?" (Sorry.)
--Hanley Ramirez looks like another Ramirez in left field. And, sometimes, at the plate. (Only the second one there was a compliment, for those not in the know.)
--Victorino doesn't look like he's going to make the whole year, physically. Or, based on his performance. He suddenly looks older and slower.
--Panda needs to lose a little of the heft. His is bigger than Ortiz's.
--And Ortiz needs to do something about his play at the plate. He should take the one-day suspension and work on his swing--and his attitude. (But he's not. He's appealing it. Is there a series coming up soon in a National League park?)
--Having said that, those two check-swings were not strikes. But the past is maybe evening out on him now. The umps must've gotten together over the winter and decided that they'd had enough.
--And Ortiz also looks older and slower at the plate. He's swinging at things he hasn't before. He's not swinging at things he should be. And he's looking mostly overmatched and confused up there.
--The Sox have not lost a series yet. (They split in Baltimore.) They've won every single first-game.
--And they've played well against the Nationals, who're very good, and the Orioles, who could be.
--I haven't seen such poor defense played against the Sox like I have in these first 14 games.
--Nava might be a better first baseman than an outfielder. He picks it out of the dirt really well. He made some fantastic scoops in today's game, including the one that was the last out. But he's not hitting, either.
--The Sox have already shown more hustle this year than they did throughout all of last year.
Wednesday, April 15, 2015
April 14, 2015 Sox 6-2 So Far
Just came back from Fenway. Exhausted and not feeling so great. Amidst a 22-hour day so far, as I have a headcold and awoke at 2 a.m. on the 14th and haven't slept since. But there's lots to go over, so I'll return to this post later today (April 15th) after I've slept and returned from work...
Unbelievable game. Sox beat Strasburg and the Nationals 8-7, and should've lost. Nobody can play defense against the Sox yet this year, for some reason. The Sox have seen the worst defense since Opening Day that I have ever seen them face to begin a season--and I've been watching since the mid-1980s.
Anyway, more soon...
Unbelievable game. Sox beat Strasburg and the Nationals 8-7, and should've lost. Nobody can play defense against the Sox yet this year, for some reason. The Sox have seen the worst defense since Opening Day that I have ever seen them face to begin a season--and I've been watching since the mid-1980s.
Anyway, more soon...
Monday, April 6, 2015
Opening Day 2015 Red Sox 8 Phillies 0
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Photo: Dustin Pedroia, in Baltimore, 2012. From his Wikipedia page.
It's just one game. But my observations so far:
--You can't ask for more than 7 shutout innings from Buchholz. He struck out 9 and allowed only three hits and a walk. He'll face teams better than the Phillies this year, but he came through in a start in which he had to show he could step up and be the Jon Lester fill-in. He did that.
--And don't miss the work by the unknown starting catcher (with Christian Vazquez on the shelf), Ryan Hanigan. He called a good game and caught a good game, and even had a base hit and a walk.
--Dustin Pedroia, of course, had two homers and two Gold-Glove calibre plays. Good to see that his finger injuries are behind him for the first time in a couple of years.
--And Hanley Ramirez's 2 homers and 5 RBIs, including an Opening Day grand slam.
--And Mookie Betts had a homerun, a walk and a single so far. Experts have picked him to lead the league in runs scored. Let's hope he does.
--Pedroia had seven homers all of last year, and has had two already. Thou shalt not try to sneak a fastball inside on Pedroia.
--Or Mookie Betts, apparently. Also, Mookie Betts has one of the great baseball names today.
--As does umpire Fieldin Culbreth. That's right: Fieldin.
--Pablo Sandoval turned two walks into two outs when he flailed on garbage with a 3-2 count on him each time. He needs to take more and sport a better OBP. But he's clearly a better fielder than Middlebrooks was. I'll say it again as I said it frequently last year and already this year: I do not miss Middlebrooks. Except for how he kept Jenny Dell happy, of course.
--Jenny Dell can do better, by the way. The word is that she's actually a very nice person. She'll talk to anyone, and went to a kid's prom, and didn't just treat it as a publicity stunt. She'll sign and take pics without a problem, too.
--Right, Salad?
--Speaking of Salad, I dedicate this year's blog posts to ya, big guy. Thanks for all the games.
--First up: April 14th, the second Fenway game of the year. Against the Washington Nationals, so I'll probably blog about their pitching staff--the best since the Braves' staffs of the mid-90s.
Friday, March 13, 2015
Red Sox 2015 Spring So Far, and My Picks
Some quick points--
--Remember, it's just the Spring. I haven't seen a spring that really meant anything for the regular season since 1984, when the Tigers steamrolled through their spring and then started the Regular Season 35-5, thereby ending the race in June.
--Having said that, the Sox have looked good. Or, more accurately, they haven't looked bad. Everyone's hitting decently and nobody besides Rusney has gotten injured.
--In a weak-looking American League East, the Sox could win the division.
--Or, with injuries, they could finish last. Who knows?
--I'm sorry to lose David Ross, but he wasn't getting younger, and the Sox need to see what Swihart and company can do. The backup they got to replace Ross looks just as good defensively.
--Not sorry to see Middlebrooks go, especially since his stupid selfie took Jenny Dell away from us for awhile. And, oh yeah, he wasn't hitting or fielding well. And he did get in the way of the runner.
--Very surprised, and very glad, to hear that Jenny Dell is returning. Figured she'd go to CA with him, since they're married and all.
--And here's to hoping that all that sordidness is behind us now, and Jerry Remy can laugh again.
--The ones to watch this spring are Brock Holt, Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley, Weeks, Victorino and the newest outfielders, Rusney and Moncada. I know Panda and Ramirez will hit. In the later innings of games they're ahead, Holt or Betts will take over for Hanley in left.
--Gold-glove Jackie Bradley is the odd man out in the outfield, since he's defense-only at this point, and Holt can play the outfield and infield. And Holt's still getting on base. Bradley is, too, but he did at this time last year as well, and for about a month thereafter. But then the wheels came off.
--And Daniel Nava should be looking over his shoulder, too. He can spell at first, but so can Holt (surprisingly, for his size), and Nava's not going to be a defensive replacement in the outfield. So if he's not starting, he's not playing at all. Nava is an excellent three-quarters of-the-year player (see: two years ago, when he was in the top-10 in average and OBP), but even then he never saw the playoffs.
--Two new outfielders brand new in the country just got about $100 million between them. There's a great hitter in left, GG-caliber Victorino in right, and Betts (a GG-caliber guy himself who gets on base), or Rusney Castillo when he gets healthy, or Moncada, or Brock Holt (who's almost GG-caliber himself sometimes) or Weeks in center. So, where exactly is Nava to play, except to spell Napoli at first. And what if Napoli is healthy again? I like Nava, but...Bradley, Moncada and Castillo all open in Pawtucket (or Providence?!?) this year--and all three are potential Gold Glove winners. And Moncada and Castillo are at least very good hitters. And there are too many outfielders even without those guys. If I'm Nava, I don't buy another house around here.
--Though he probably stays around if Napoli never gets fully healthy. Might see a platoon there.
--It should also be said that great three-quarters players like Nava have much better careers in the NL. Like in Philly, for example.
--Pedroia looks revitalized to me. Hopefully his hands and fingers stay healthy.
--Not having an ace is not the worst thing in the world. But Cole Hamels probably nails down the division for them.
--A trade for Hamels probably means Bogaerts and Betts and someone else from the outfield leaves, maybe Bradley if someone needs a GG-fourth outfielder, which NL teams often do, especially if the pitcher's spot comes up in the late innings. If that happens, Nava still probably doesn't have a job, as Ramirez, Victorino, one or both of the newest guys, and Brock Holt are still around. (Holt might go in that trade as well.)
--With this many pitchers who pitch to contact this year, the Sox infield had best be flawless.
--And I don't know that such a staff goes too far in the postseason, where firepower generally rules.
--Unless you're Detroit.
--Late-inning relief looks a little iffy, but I wouldn't be surprised if Uehara or one of the newest guys steps it up and does well. Mujica, I'm guessing, is gone as part of a trade.
--Betts and Holt are the lead-off batters this year. Victorino, Pedroia or Weeks in a pinch. But there's no shortage of table-setters this year.
--Pencil Big Papi in for 25-30 and 90-100 this year. But his 40/125 years are over.
--Youkilis and Manny are two more ex-patriots working for the Cubs this year, for those keeping track. Now, with the Dodgers, there are two NL Red Sox teams this year. Oakland used to be one.
--So...where will Boston finish?
--I don't see Baltimore repeating, though it could. But there seems too much uncertainty, bitterness, and flat-out hostility and strangeness going on there. Even Duquette didn't know if he wanted to come or go. Very odd for a Cinderella team like that to suddenly hate itself. I don't see Adam Jones or Davis producing like that again, at the same time. The relief looks shaky again, especially with Andrew Miller gone to NY (!). Markakis left and wasn't replaced. If they finish in first, it won't be by much. But I don't see it. Baltimore had better start off very well, or it'll implode.
--Toronto could surprise. Nobody outside the offense really stands out, but...they could win 93 games, which might be enough to win this weak division. And it should be said that the Wild Card will not come from the American League East this year.
--The Yankees, who have not replaced Rivera or Jeter, will not do well this year, as they are old, and hefty, and still A-rod-ridden. (And boring to watch. If John Sterling is the most interesting part of your team, that's not good.) A-Rod will be a huge distraction, and will undoubtedly do something to get himself released or suspended. Still, a bad team, and a circus. No, thanks.
--Tampa Bay? Maybe, but doubtful. Often, they were a decent team held together by black masking tape and Joe Maddon. And Maddon leaving tells me there was handwriting on the wall I couldn't see from here. (And the Cubs definitely colluded to get him. Where's that investigation?)
--So...Boston or Toronto or Baltimore finishes first. I'll go with Boston, with reservations. Toronto's second. Baltimore will crash and burn, then right itself when Buck Showalter gives everyone the Death Glare, and micro-manages everyone into submission. And then Dan Duquette will become his socially-endearing self and bore everyone into submission. Baltimore then floats and finishes third, at, or slightly-above, .500. New York will sink to the bottom, then panic and spend billions on over-the-hill but-still-good players and not finish in the basement. Which is where Tampa Bay will be. (Though it could be a flip with those two.)
My picks for the American League East, then:
Boston
Toronto
Baltimore
New York
Tampa Bay
That looks weird, but that's how I see it.
Any thoughts?
--Remember, it's just the Spring. I haven't seen a spring that really meant anything for the regular season since 1984, when the Tigers steamrolled through their spring and then started the Regular Season 35-5, thereby ending the race in June.
--Having said that, the Sox have looked good. Or, more accurately, they haven't looked bad. Everyone's hitting decently and nobody besides Rusney has gotten injured.
--In a weak-looking American League East, the Sox could win the division.
--Or, with injuries, they could finish last. Who knows?
--I'm sorry to lose David Ross, but he wasn't getting younger, and the Sox need to see what Swihart and company can do. The backup they got to replace Ross looks just as good defensively.
--Not sorry to see Middlebrooks go, especially since his stupid selfie took Jenny Dell away from us for awhile. And, oh yeah, he wasn't hitting or fielding well. And he did get in the way of the runner.
--Very surprised, and very glad, to hear that Jenny Dell is returning. Figured she'd go to CA with him, since they're married and all.
--And here's to hoping that all that sordidness is behind us now, and Jerry Remy can laugh again.
--The ones to watch this spring are Brock Holt, Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley, Weeks, Victorino and the newest outfielders, Rusney and Moncada. I know Panda and Ramirez will hit. In the later innings of games they're ahead, Holt or Betts will take over for Hanley in left.
--Gold-glove Jackie Bradley is the odd man out in the outfield, since he's defense-only at this point, and Holt can play the outfield and infield. And Holt's still getting on base. Bradley is, too, but he did at this time last year as well, and for about a month thereafter. But then the wheels came off.
--And Daniel Nava should be looking over his shoulder, too. He can spell at first, but so can Holt (surprisingly, for his size), and Nava's not going to be a defensive replacement in the outfield. So if he's not starting, he's not playing at all. Nava is an excellent three-quarters of-the-year player (see: two years ago, when he was in the top-10 in average and OBP), but even then he never saw the playoffs.
--Two new outfielders brand new in the country just got about $100 million between them. There's a great hitter in left, GG-caliber Victorino in right, and Betts (a GG-caliber guy himself who gets on base), or Rusney Castillo when he gets healthy, or Moncada, or Brock Holt (who's almost GG-caliber himself sometimes) or Weeks in center. So, where exactly is Nava to play, except to spell Napoli at first. And what if Napoli is healthy again? I like Nava, but...Bradley, Moncada and Castillo all open in Pawtucket (or Providence?!?) this year--and all three are potential Gold Glove winners. And Moncada and Castillo are at least very good hitters. And there are too many outfielders even without those guys. If I'm Nava, I don't buy another house around here.
--Though he probably stays around if Napoli never gets fully healthy. Might see a platoon there.
--It should also be said that great three-quarters players like Nava have much better careers in the NL. Like in Philly, for example.
--Pedroia looks revitalized to me. Hopefully his hands and fingers stay healthy.
--Not having an ace is not the worst thing in the world. But Cole Hamels probably nails down the division for them.
--A trade for Hamels probably means Bogaerts and Betts and someone else from the outfield leaves, maybe Bradley if someone needs a GG-fourth outfielder, which NL teams often do, especially if the pitcher's spot comes up in the late innings. If that happens, Nava still probably doesn't have a job, as Ramirez, Victorino, one or both of the newest guys, and Brock Holt are still around. (Holt might go in that trade as well.)
--With this many pitchers who pitch to contact this year, the Sox infield had best be flawless.
--And I don't know that such a staff goes too far in the postseason, where firepower generally rules.
--Unless you're Detroit.
--Late-inning relief looks a little iffy, but I wouldn't be surprised if Uehara or one of the newest guys steps it up and does well. Mujica, I'm guessing, is gone as part of a trade.
--Betts and Holt are the lead-off batters this year. Victorino, Pedroia or Weeks in a pinch. But there's no shortage of table-setters this year.
--Pencil Big Papi in for 25-30 and 90-100 this year. But his 40/125 years are over.
--Youkilis and Manny are two more ex-patriots working for the Cubs this year, for those keeping track. Now, with the Dodgers, there are two NL Red Sox teams this year. Oakland used to be one.
--So...where will Boston finish?
--I don't see Baltimore repeating, though it could. But there seems too much uncertainty, bitterness, and flat-out hostility and strangeness going on there. Even Duquette didn't know if he wanted to come or go. Very odd for a Cinderella team like that to suddenly hate itself. I don't see Adam Jones or Davis producing like that again, at the same time. The relief looks shaky again, especially with Andrew Miller gone to NY (!). Markakis left and wasn't replaced. If they finish in first, it won't be by much. But I don't see it. Baltimore had better start off very well, or it'll implode.
--Toronto could surprise. Nobody outside the offense really stands out, but...they could win 93 games, which might be enough to win this weak division. And it should be said that the Wild Card will not come from the American League East this year.
--The Yankees, who have not replaced Rivera or Jeter, will not do well this year, as they are old, and hefty, and still A-rod-ridden. (And boring to watch. If John Sterling is the most interesting part of your team, that's not good.) A-Rod will be a huge distraction, and will undoubtedly do something to get himself released or suspended. Still, a bad team, and a circus. No, thanks.
--Tampa Bay? Maybe, but doubtful. Often, they were a decent team held together by black masking tape and Joe Maddon. And Maddon leaving tells me there was handwriting on the wall I couldn't see from here. (And the Cubs definitely colluded to get him. Where's that investigation?)
--So...Boston or Toronto or Baltimore finishes first. I'll go with Boston, with reservations. Toronto's second. Baltimore will crash and burn, then right itself when Buck Showalter gives everyone the Death Glare, and micro-manages everyone into submission. And then Dan Duquette will become his socially-endearing self and bore everyone into submission. Baltimore then floats and finishes third, at, or slightly-above, .500. New York will sink to the bottom, then panic and spend billions on over-the-hill but-still-good players and not finish in the basement. Which is where Tampa Bay will be. (Though it could be a flip with those two.)
My picks for the American League East, then:
Boston
Toronto
Baltimore
New York
Tampa Bay
That looks weird, but that's how I see it.
Any thoughts?
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