Blog posts about specific baseball cards--images of the card itself and info about the player and his career--and commentary about baseball in general.
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Bryce Harper 2012 Bowman Platinum
Photo: from my collection, scanned in.
So, this is Bryce Harper's 2012 Bowman Platinum rookie card, graded in PSA 9 Mint condition. I got it for $8.51, plus $1.18 shipping, for a total of $9.69. (This was in a package of 3 other cards from the same Ebay company. I may write about those cards another time.) The book value of this card from the Beckett Graded Card Price Guide is $25. The Ebay selling price lately for this is about $20 to $25. I got a Mint condition card for even less than half of what I can re-sell it for, which is always what I try to do. I always buy with an eye to re-sell, if necessary in the future, so I always buy for about half the book value, and for about 75% of the recent Ebay value. I made out well here.
I normally don't buy baseball cards of recent rookies or of recent new stars because their values can fluctuate wildly over a very short time. If you take a look at the values of autographed rookie cards, or of prospect cards of the hottest new player, they've often cost hundreds--and thousands!--of dollars, and for what? For the player to crash and burn, and now his cards are worthless, and all that money is down the drain.
Crazy.
However, Bryce Harper, and--even more so--Mike Trout are rare exceptions. Trout's Bowman rookie cards are worth hundreds of dollars or more in Mint or Gem condition. (I just got a Mint at about $50 and a couple of ungraded ones I'll take a chance on at $20 apiece. If the ungraded ones get graded and turn out really low, I can give them away as gifts to guys I know who'd be thrilled to have them.) I may run an entry about my Mike Trout cards soon.
So why Bryce Harper? Well, he won the ROY Award a few years ago, and just won the MVP. Last year he hit .330. He slugged .649 with over a 1.100 OPS. He hit over 40 homers (with just 99 RBIs, but he's not to blame if nobody's on in front of him) and walked 124 times for a ridiculous .460 on-base percentage.
He has rubbed a few the wrong way, and certainly he had his cocky and immature moments--but remember a guy who was so cocksure and immature he was called The Kid? I'm not saying Bryce Harper will even come close to Ted Williams, of course, but he has the tools--if he can stay healthy, mature and not party too much--to hang around a long time and to put up potential HOF numbers.
That's what I'm counting on. Mike Trout has a better chance to do so, and I'll write about him next.
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Sunday, November 15, 2015
Patriots 27 NYG 26
Photo: The catch that wasn't, from Jason Szenes of the New York Times. Article at NYTimes.com. BTW, note to the Times: The caption beside this photo says, "The Giants' Odell Beckham Jr. made a catch past the Patriot's Malcolm Butler (21)." No, he didn't. That was the play of the game, you know.
A few things from this game, the best I've seen all year and probably better than a few playoff games to come:
--"The receiver had not yet become a runner." That was from Ed Hochuli, who seems to have toned down his tight-shirt accentuating his toned upper-body thing. No better explanation necessary for why an incompletion is so, even in the end zone. And, I noticed at the time, the receiver's second foot had not made solid contact with the ground before the ball had popped loose. In short, the receiver has to make the catch and complete some other kind of football play. That didn't happen.
--And Malcolm Butler, who knocked the ball out of Odell Beckham's hands on that play, really saved the day, and more than made up for his one awful play--the throw on the second play from scrimmage that allowed Beckham...to...go...all...the...way. (Though McCourty actually ran into him on that play, and it was more McCourty's fault overall than his.) The Giants had to settle for a field goal a few plays later, which put them ahead only by 2 with about 1:30 left.
--Losing Edelman for anything longer than this game is really going to hurt. He does so many things well, but he's also really Brady's favorite receiver. And with Dion Lewis out, that's especially painful.
--The true great ones win in dramatic fashion even when they're not at their best. That was Brady today. Really fortunate not to have 1 or 2 more INTs in this game, and a TD is taken back on a holding call, and he throws a pick on the goal line...and they still win. After completing on a 4th and 10, no less.
--Gostkowski may be the best kicker in the NFL right now, and maybe has been for quite awhile. Nothing against Vinitiari, and these comparisons are sort of useless anyway. But a 54-yarder is not a gimme, of course, and this was to win the game, after being iced once, in hostile territory.
--Eli Manning vs. Tom Brady and the Patriots is like Geno Petralli vs. Roger Clemens. Go figure. And you get a safety if you leave a comment to explain this one, since you'd have to be my age and a serious Sox fan to get it. But it's a solid comparison, in its own way.
--Amendola is another Edelman, who himself was another Wes Welker. Unbelievably awesome receivers who run for a ton of yards after the catch, and make great catches, and catch 7-10 passes per game, and can be used as occasional running backs. They're also short--much shorter than average in the NFL--and bounce back up after catastrophic hits. The Patriots keep churning out these guys.
--The Patriots have, in MHO, the best quarterback, tight end, kicker, receiving corps and coach in the NFL. That'll equal a lot of victories.
--I'm going to bet that Belichik does not retire when Tom Brady does. But they'll forever be thought of together, now and in the Hall of Fame.
--The Patriots barely beat the Giants in their almost-perfect season as well, for those who remember. So let's not get cocky here.
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Monday, November 9, 2015
2016 HOF Ballot
Photo: Ken Griffey, Jr. from his Wikipedia page
I know I promised a lot of blogs about last year's HOF ballot and winners & losers, and I really dropped the ball on that (pun intended). I'll follow through this time. I think.
The ballot: Garret Anderson, Brad Ausmus, Jeff Bagwell, Barry Bonds, Luis Castillo, Roger Clemens, David Eckstein, Jim Edmonds, Nomar Garciaparra, Troy Glaus, Ken Griffey Jr., Mark Grudzielanek, Mike Hampton, Trevor Hoffman, Jason Kendall, Jeff Kent, Mike Lowell, Edgar Martinez, Fred McGriff, Mark McGwire, Mike Mussina, Mike Piazza, Tim Raines, Curt Schilling, Gary Sheffield, Lee Smith, Sammy Sosa, Mike Sweeney, Alan Trammell, Billy Wagner, Larry Walker, Randy Winn.
My 10 picks, and the order of my vehemence (c'mon, that's a nice phrase):
1. Ken Griffey, Jr. (of course)
2. Alan Trammell (yes; see recent blog entry)
3. Barry Bonds
4. Roger Clemens
5. Mike Piazza
6. Jeff Bagwell (I know the sniff of steroid scandal surrounds these last four, but none of them ever failed an MLB drug test, or got suspended for PED use. And it's time the writers got off their high-horse.)
These first six are no-brainers, in my opinion. And repeat after me: Baseball writers are not judges or pariahs. Baseball writers are not judges or pariahs. Baseball writers are not...
The next four should go in, but I'm ambivalent about them, in almost equal vehemence. I'd be okay with none of the four getting in, but the stats show that they should:
7. Mark McGwire OR Sammy Sosa (Repeat after me again: Baseball writers are not...McGwire gets the nod from me because of his Gold-Glove caliber defense at first.)
8. Curt Schilling (May place ahead of McGwire and Sosa, whose stats are better and who made bigger overall impacts during the regular season. Schilling's numbers are better than Mussina's overall, but not by as much as you would think. Voters aren't supposed to consider the post-season while voting, but...How could you not with Schilling?)
9. Mike Mussina (I see him as a Veterans Committee pick many years from now.)
10. Edgar Martinez OR Trevor Hoffman (The writers see these guys as part-time players, almost. In truth, Hoffman might have a better shot than Edgar. But the closer role and the DH are positions, nonetheless, even if a typical closer pitches just 75 innings a year and the DH essentially pinch-hits 5 times a game.)
I still can't justify Tim Raines getting in, though I mentioned last year that if he hadn't played at the same time as Rickey Henderson (and if that vial of coke hadn't shattered in his uniform pocket when he slid into home that day), then he'd be in the Hall. I still believe that.
Lee Smith, as I said last year, was simply not a dominant closer. Period. Eckersley and Rivera were, and they're in the Hall. Hoffman was not dominant like those two were, ever, but he was more than Smith was, every year. I'm not sure he was dominant enough to make my Hall. Probably at some point. Not this time. The writers will vote him in, anyway, because they won't vote in the steroids-stained, despite their innocence in MLB's court of law. But he should get in before Billy Wagner does. Wagner probably doesn't belong at all. Same goes from McGriff and Sheffield, though Sheffield was probably more of an overall force than McGriff. Had either played for the dominant teams of their time, however, each would be a lock for the Hall. But whispers surround them as well, especially Sheffield.
I'll have to research Jeff Kent's numbers, but I'd be surprised if he wasn't among the top-10 best-hitting second basemen of all-time. I hear that when Kent played with Bonds on the Giants, a reporter asked everyone else on the team not named Kent or Bonds to vote for the most-hated man on the team. Every player said it was Kent, and it wasn't close.
Had Nomar never been drilled in the wrist that day, he would've been better than Jeter, especially in peak value. But baseball is full of what-ifs. He broke his wrist and he faltered.
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Sunday, October 4, 2015
2015 Red Sox 78-84, and My Playoff Picks
A few thoughts about your last-place 2015 Boston Red Sox
--Had the season started after the All-Star break, the Sox would be in the playoffs. But it doesn't work that way.
--Letting Don Orsillo go is a travesty. I'm actually angry about it and I'm going to miss him. Finishing last place 3 out of the last 4 years is bad enough; without the pleasant silliness from Orsillo and Remy, it would have been unbearable and unwatchable. Despite the last place finishes, they've been a mainstay for me at 7pm most nights. It was nice just to hear their silliness. And it wasn't all inane banter, like Sean McDonough used to do. (And he was miserable, too.) Orsillo and Remy, and not the team, were the most consistently good 3 of the last 4 years. (And let's face it: 2013 was an awesome overachievement, as was the 2013 ALCS, especially.)
--And firing Arnie Beyeler is a mystery. The first base coach is essentially an irrelevant position. His primary responsibility is waving runners on to second base. Since I don't recall a tremendous number of Sox players thrown out at second this year, he seems to have done a decent job. I saw him time the pitcher like he's supposed to. Not a lot of runners got picked off. He carried the players' elbow pads. And the third base coach, bench coach and manager are all coming back--all of whom have much more to do with the Sox record than Beyeler does. Plus, Beyeler was the PawSox manager for a few years, so he knows many of the Sox players pretty well. Unless the players asked for him to be let go because of some kind of lousy clubhouse presence, or unless he said the wrong thing at the wrong time to the wrong person, this firing is a mystery. I won't care as much as Orsillo going, but I have 2 Beyeler autographed balls because he was at the Pawtucket HotStove a few years.
--Speaking of Orsillo, he got a six-year contract and a huge raise each year from the San Diego Padres, so he has the last laugh. But I'll still miss him.
--David Ortiz led the majors in RBIs after the All-Star break. He had such a terrible first half, I thought he had no chance for 30 homers and 100 RBIs. I was wrong. But the sudden and inexplicable upsurge is curious, if you know what I mean.
--Tory Lovullo deserved the 2-year extension he just got. He'll be the manager should Farrell be physically incapable of managing--or if Farrell is told to take more time off and get well, if you catch my drift. I wouldn't be surprised if that happened. In fact, I hate to say it, but I'd be in favor of it.
--Hopefully, Betts, Bradley and Castillo are the outfielders next year. But if the Sox want a #1 starter, one or two of those are going to go. The best overall player is Betts, so I hope he stays. (I need a Betts autographed ball with a COA, if any of you care.)
--Bogaerts and Bradley were completely different players this year. Bogaerts had almost 200 hits (the vast majority of them singles) and became almost a Gold Glove-caliber fielder. Bradley always was Gold Glove, but improved his average by about 50 points (!!!) and finished with a slightly-above .500 slugging percentage (!!!!!).
--Having said that, Betts was still overall a more valuable player than either Bogaerts or Bradley.
--Pedroia looks healthy again, and he fielded and hit like he never missed about two-thirds of the season. But he needs to stay healthy, which he hasn't done since he signed that mega-contract. They're honest injuries, but he has to stay healthy for the whole year. When he does, the Sox finish with a great record. When he doesn't, they don't.
--Buchholz also has to stay healthy all year and win the 17+ games he's capable of, every year. When he stays healthy, the Sox finish with a very good record.
--I'm hearing that Hanley Ramirez has played his last game for Boston. He had a tremendous first half--but he was a disaster in left. He'll be terrible at first, and I've heard he's terrible in the clubhouse. I've heard that the Sox players have complained about his attitude all year. I can't wait to see him go. The word is that the Sox will deal him for almost nothing and eat most of his contract.
--And Sandoval needs to go, too. I wrote at the beginning of the year that I was concerned that nobody on the Giants was sad to see him go. And I wrote that I didn't like the idea of someone winning 3 World Series in 5 years with one team, and then leaving that team. Sandoval gained weight all year and purportedly weighs more than Ortiz (!) and is also a disaster in the clubhouse. I wasn't wrong about him since the beginning of this year. He needs to go.
--As of a few games ago, Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez were tied as the worst WAR players in the American League. Dealing them and eating their contracts would be addition by subtraction.
--I'm more than happy with Travis Shaw--and his almost-.500 slugging percentage and his slightly above average defense--at first base and Brock Holt at third, even if Holt has to platoon with Merrero and / or Rutledge.
--Merrerro and Rutledge are basically paler versions of Brock Holt, and I mean that as a compliment. You probably can't keep both of them, but they are great back-ups. They field very well, hit decently to well, and do the little things well, like hit-and-run and bunt. I hope they can stay. If just one stays, I prefer Rutledge, but I don't know if he can play short and / or third. Holt can be my third baseman, or back-up infielder and outfielder, until he retires. Love his hustle, his defense, and his ability to do all those little things that win games: move the runner over; drive him in from third with less than 2 outs; bunt; hit-and-run. His defense is almost Gold Glove, and he can even steal a few bases.
--My guess is that Tazawa and Uehara are both done. Tazawa's not automatic in the 8th for me if he comes back, and Uehara is the closer only because nobody else on the current roster can do it.
--Rich Hill should start the year on the team. He or Steven Wright is my #5 starter. Either one would eat lots of innings and overall be a very good #5. But I don't know if the Sox can keep both in the rotation. Probably neither is good enough to be #4. Hill, maybe, but I'm concerned about how well he'll hold up all year.
--The highlight of 2015 was the outfield. Defensively, especially, but at the plate, too. They made me want to watch. Speaking of that, Bradley might have been one of the best #9 hitters in the majors. How many #9 guys had over a .500 slugging percentage?
--And Mookie Betts has one of the best baseball names in the majors.
--For umpires, it's Fieldin Culbreth, of course.
--You know you've seen a lot of ballgames if you know most of the umpires' names.
--Besides being traded during the 2014 or 2015 season, what do Jon Lester, John Lackey, Mike Napoli, Andrew Miller, Andrew Bailey and Jonny Gomes all have in common? They're all in the 2015 playoffs. And Shane Victorino missed by a game or two with the Angels.
--But Miller's trade to the Orioles for the rookie Rodriguez this year might end up being a steal for the Sox. Last-place teams don't need good closers, and a good starter is more important than a good reliever, even a closer. Starters pitch 200+ innings if they're #1s or #2s. Closers pitch maybe 70 innings. A closer would have to be Mariano Rivera not to make that trade a win for the Sox. Miller isn't quite there yet. But he'll have a very long career after his closing days are over if he doesn't mind going back to the lefty specialist he used to be.
--Speaking of relievers, Ross may have a good career if he can tone down his act. Ogando finished well this year, but I'd show him the door if I ran the team. Overall, the entire relief corps needs to be revamped.
--That, and somehow, at any cost, getting rid of Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval, and getting a #1 starter, are this team's most important needs.
--If there are any Sox developments, come back here and you'll hear about it. I'll post a lot about baseball in general, the Patriots, and baseball cards.
--Although the Wild Card Game in the A.L. will be in Yankee Stadium, look for the Astros to win.
--Toronto and Kansas City will play in the ALCS. Winner: ...Kansas City, despite Toronto's home field advantage. I say this only because of the theory that good pitching and defense will beat good hitting in one series. But if it goes 7, it's a flip.
--The N.L. is a tougher call. The Cubs won 8 straight to end the season, and Pittsburgh and Chicago are awesome teams and are not limping into the Wild Card Game like the Yankees are. It's unfair that the Yanks may go on, but either the Cubs or Pirates must go home, despite each winning at least 10 more games than the Yanks.
--It's hard to count the Dodgers out, and the Mets could surprise, but I pick the Cardinals to play the ...Cubs in the NLCS. Winner: St. Louis.
--World Series winner: St. Louis. I'd never bet on the playoffs, because I know better ways to waste and lose my money, but this year's playoffs, especially in the N.L., are especially tough to pick.
--Feel free to comment on how wrong you think I am about my picks. You'll probably be right.
--Had the season started after the All-Star break, the Sox would be in the playoffs. But it doesn't work that way.
--Letting Don Orsillo go is a travesty. I'm actually angry about it and I'm going to miss him. Finishing last place 3 out of the last 4 years is bad enough; without the pleasant silliness from Orsillo and Remy, it would have been unbearable and unwatchable. Despite the last place finishes, they've been a mainstay for me at 7pm most nights. It was nice just to hear their silliness. And it wasn't all inane banter, like Sean McDonough used to do. (And he was miserable, too.) Orsillo and Remy, and not the team, were the most consistently good 3 of the last 4 years. (And let's face it: 2013 was an awesome overachievement, as was the 2013 ALCS, especially.)
--And firing Arnie Beyeler is a mystery. The first base coach is essentially an irrelevant position. His primary responsibility is waving runners on to second base. Since I don't recall a tremendous number of Sox players thrown out at second this year, he seems to have done a decent job. I saw him time the pitcher like he's supposed to. Not a lot of runners got picked off. He carried the players' elbow pads. And the third base coach, bench coach and manager are all coming back--all of whom have much more to do with the Sox record than Beyeler does. Plus, Beyeler was the PawSox manager for a few years, so he knows many of the Sox players pretty well. Unless the players asked for him to be let go because of some kind of lousy clubhouse presence, or unless he said the wrong thing at the wrong time to the wrong person, this firing is a mystery. I won't care as much as Orsillo going, but I have 2 Beyeler autographed balls because he was at the Pawtucket HotStove a few years.
--Speaking of Orsillo, he got a six-year contract and a huge raise each year from the San Diego Padres, so he has the last laugh. But I'll still miss him.
--David Ortiz led the majors in RBIs after the All-Star break. He had such a terrible first half, I thought he had no chance for 30 homers and 100 RBIs. I was wrong. But the sudden and inexplicable upsurge is curious, if you know what I mean.
--Tory Lovullo deserved the 2-year extension he just got. He'll be the manager should Farrell be physically incapable of managing--or if Farrell is told to take more time off and get well, if you catch my drift. I wouldn't be surprised if that happened. In fact, I hate to say it, but I'd be in favor of it.
--Hopefully, Betts, Bradley and Castillo are the outfielders next year. But if the Sox want a #1 starter, one or two of those are going to go. The best overall player is Betts, so I hope he stays. (I need a Betts autographed ball with a COA, if any of you care.)
--Bogaerts and Bradley were completely different players this year. Bogaerts had almost 200 hits (the vast majority of them singles) and became almost a Gold Glove-caliber fielder. Bradley always was Gold Glove, but improved his average by about 50 points (!!!) and finished with a slightly-above .500 slugging percentage (!!!!!).
--Having said that, Betts was still overall a more valuable player than either Bogaerts or Bradley.
--Pedroia looks healthy again, and he fielded and hit like he never missed about two-thirds of the season. But he needs to stay healthy, which he hasn't done since he signed that mega-contract. They're honest injuries, but he has to stay healthy for the whole year. When he does, the Sox finish with a great record. When he doesn't, they don't.
--Buchholz also has to stay healthy all year and win the 17+ games he's capable of, every year. When he stays healthy, the Sox finish with a very good record.
--I'm hearing that Hanley Ramirez has played his last game for Boston. He had a tremendous first half--but he was a disaster in left. He'll be terrible at first, and I've heard he's terrible in the clubhouse. I've heard that the Sox players have complained about his attitude all year. I can't wait to see him go. The word is that the Sox will deal him for almost nothing and eat most of his contract.
--And Sandoval needs to go, too. I wrote at the beginning of the year that I was concerned that nobody on the Giants was sad to see him go. And I wrote that I didn't like the idea of someone winning 3 World Series in 5 years with one team, and then leaving that team. Sandoval gained weight all year and purportedly weighs more than Ortiz (!) and is also a disaster in the clubhouse. I wasn't wrong about him since the beginning of this year. He needs to go.
--As of a few games ago, Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez were tied as the worst WAR players in the American League. Dealing them and eating their contracts would be addition by subtraction.
--I'm more than happy with Travis Shaw--and his almost-.500 slugging percentage and his slightly above average defense--at first base and Brock Holt at third, even if Holt has to platoon with Merrero and / or Rutledge.
--Merrerro and Rutledge are basically paler versions of Brock Holt, and I mean that as a compliment. You probably can't keep both of them, but they are great back-ups. They field very well, hit decently to well, and do the little things well, like hit-and-run and bunt. I hope they can stay. If just one stays, I prefer Rutledge, but I don't know if he can play short and / or third. Holt can be my third baseman, or back-up infielder and outfielder, until he retires. Love his hustle, his defense, and his ability to do all those little things that win games: move the runner over; drive him in from third with less than 2 outs; bunt; hit-and-run. His defense is almost Gold Glove, and he can even steal a few bases.
--My guess is that Tazawa and Uehara are both done. Tazawa's not automatic in the 8th for me if he comes back, and Uehara is the closer only because nobody else on the current roster can do it.
--Rich Hill should start the year on the team. He or Steven Wright is my #5 starter. Either one would eat lots of innings and overall be a very good #5. But I don't know if the Sox can keep both in the rotation. Probably neither is good enough to be #4. Hill, maybe, but I'm concerned about how well he'll hold up all year.
--The highlight of 2015 was the outfield. Defensively, especially, but at the plate, too. They made me want to watch. Speaking of that, Bradley might have been one of the best #9 hitters in the majors. How many #9 guys had over a .500 slugging percentage?
--And Mookie Betts has one of the best baseball names in the majors.
--For umpires, it's Fieldin Culbreth, of course.
--You know you've seen a lot of ballgames if you know most of the umpires' names.
--Besides being traded during the 2014 or 2015 season, what do Jon Lester, John Lackey, Mike Napoli, Andrew Miller, Andrew Bailey and Jonny Gomes all have in common? They're all in the 2015 playoffs. And Shane Victorino missed by a game or two with the Angels.
--But Miller's trade to the Orioles for the rookie Rodriguez this year might end up being a steal for the Sox. Last-place teams don't need good closers, and a good starter is more important than a good reliever, even a closer. Starters pitch 200+ innings if they're #1s or #2s. Closers pitch maybe 70 innings. A closer would have to be Mariano Rivera not to make that trade a win for the Sox. Miller isn't quite there yet. But he'll have a very long career after his closing days are over if he doesn't mind going back to the lefty specialist he used to be.
--Speaking of relievers, Ross may have a good career if he can tone down his act. Ogando finished well this year, but I'd show him the door if I ran the team. Overall, the entire relief corps needs to be revamped.
--That, and somehow, at any cost, getting rid of Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval, and getting a #1 starter, are this team's most important needs.
--If there are any Sox developments, come back here and you'll hear about it. I'll post a lot about baseball in general, the Patriots, and baseball cards.
--Although the Wild Card Game in the A.L. will be in Yankee Stadium, look for the Astros to win.
--Toronto and Kansas City will play in the ALCS. Winner: ...Kansas City, despite Toronto's home field advantage. I say this only because of the theory that good pitching and defense will beat good hitting in one series. But if it goes 7, it's a flip.
--The N.L. is a tougher call. The Cubs won 8 straight to end the season, and Pittsburgh and Chicago are awesome teams and are not limping into the Wild Card Game like the Yankees are. It's unfair that the Yanks may go on, but either the Cubs or Pirates must go home, despite each winning at least 10 more games than the Yanks.
--It's hard to count the Dodgers out, and the Mets could surprise, but I pick the Cardinals to play the ...Cubs in the NLCS. Winner: St. Louis.
--World Series winner: St. Louis. I'd never bet on the playoffs, because I know better ways to waste and lose my money, but this year's playoffs, especially in the N.L., are especially tough to pick.
--Feel free to comment on how wrong you think I am about my picks. You'll probably be right.
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Thursday, August 6, 2015
The Providence Red Sox
--I said at the beginning of the baseball season (see my baseball blog) that the Sox would finish first or last, depending on their starting pitching. I wasn't wrong, though I didn't expect the offense to be this bad, too.
--Speaking of which: The PawSox moving to Providence (the ProSox?) isn't unheard of. Providence used to have a major league team (the Providence Greys, the first team to win a World Series) and a minor league team (also called the Providence Greys; Babe Ruth played for them for a very short time). The major league Greys had a few Hall of Famers and played in what is now Downtown Olneyville, near Wes's Rib House. The minor league team played a few blocks up Union Avenue, in what is now a residential neighborhood. Easy to spot: a side-street becomes a highway ramp that empties onto Route 10. This side-street is where the minor league park used to be.
--And Providence is a minor league ready city. Plus, it's a minor league city to big league Boston, if you know what I mean.
--Having said that, Pawtucket's McCoy Stadium is not in danger of falling down, and you can't beat the ease of access and the free parking. I go there 10-12 times a summer. A stadium in Providence won't be faster to get to, as Providence is a small city and traffic is terrible. Plus, the parking won't be free, unless the stadium is built with a free parking lot. There otherwise is no place to park in Providence, for anything. It's a park in a garage city, as I guess most cities now are. What happened to all the parking lots?
--The Pawtucket Red Sox, by the way, are now owned by the guys who own the Boston Red Sox. I don't know if this is common now, that the owners of the big league team also own the minor league team, but it's a bad situation. The minors are 100% slaves to the majors already.
--But those guys do know how to make tons of money, and to do so with class. But...
--And it says something that Fenway still sells out (or comes close) for a team that's been in last place (or close to it) for most of the season. Many playoff-bound teams don't draw as well as that. This says something good about what the ownership has done with Fenway. Whatever it is, let's hope they do the same in Providence.
--Maybe a smaller Fenway for the Providence stadium?
--Speaking of which: The PawSox moving to Providence (the ProSox?) isn't unheard of. Providence used to have a major league team (the Providence Greys, the first team to win a World Series) and a minor league team (also called the Providence Greys; Babe Ruth played for them for a very short time). The major league Greys had a few Hall of Famers and played in what is now Downtown Olneyville, near Wes's Rib House. The minor league team played a few blocks up Union Avenue, in what is now a residential neighborhood. Easy to spot: a side-street becomes a highway ramp that empties onto Route 10. This side-street is where the minor league park used to be.
--And Providence is a minor league ready city. Plus, it's a minor league city to big league Boston, if you know what I mean.
--Having said that, Pawtucket's McCoy Stadium is not in danger of falling down, and you can't beat the ease of access and the free parking. I go there 10-12 times a summer. A stadium in Providence won't be faster to get to, as Providence is a small city and traffic is terrible. Plus, the parking won't be free, unless the stadium is built with a free parking lot. There otherwise is no place to park in Providence, for anything. It's a park in a garage city, as I guess most cities now are. What happened to all the parking lots?
--The Pawtucket Red Sox, by the way, are now owned by the guys who own the Boston Red Sox. I don't know if this is common now, that the owners of the big league team also own the minor league team, but it's a bad situation. The minors are 100% slaves to the majors already.
--But those guys do know how to make tons of money, and to do so with class. But...
--And it says something that Fenway still sells out (or comes close) for a team that's been in last place (or close to it) for most of the season. Many playoff-bound teams don't draw as well as that. This says something good about what the ownership has done with Fenway. Whatever it is, let's hope they do the same in Providence.
--Maybe a smaller Fenway for the Providence stadium?
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Shane Victorino
As the dismantling of the 2015 Sox starts (and hopefully doesn't end anytime soon), Shane Victorino gets traded to the Angels for an infielder, Josh Rutledge, nobody's ever heard of outside serious fans, and for good reason. Essentially, Victorino got traded to free up a roster spot for Rusney Castillo, who will finally get a lot of playing time to see if he was worth the 7-year, $70 million-plus investment. So far he's been a bust, in big and small ways.
But let's speak of Victorino. When healthy, he's my kind of player. What he does well when healthy:
--GG defense
--lots of singles and doubles
--lots of walks and HBP (the latter of which he made an art form)
--high OBP
--valuable 1 or 2 guy in the lineup
--first-to-third, stolen base guy
--awesome dugout and clubhouse presence (which can be over-rated, but not in his case)
--good hit-and-run guy because he doesn't strike out a lot
--good small-ball guy; moves the runners along, can bunt, hit to the right side, etc.
--good in the post-season, as his 12 RBIs in the 2013 Postseason and his two World Series rings show
--cheerful, motivational, wants to play every game kind of guy
You may be surprised to know that he was the 7th-best outfielder in all of baseball in 2013, according to his total value number on baseball-reference.com.
The problem is that in the last two years he hasn't been able to be on the field consistently. I doubt he's milking an injury, too; he wants to play. Now he'll get the chance, with a 1st-place team that should make the playoffs. He gets to play with Trout and Pujols, too, and he'll be a valuable 4th outfielder, pinch-runner, late inning defensive replacement kind of guy. If healthy, he can step in to a major role there, too. He's a free agent at the end of this season, so who knows where he'll be next?
But let's speak of Victorino. When healthy, he's my kind of player. What he does well when healthy:
--GG defense
--lots of singles and doubles
--lots of walks and HBP (the latter of which he made an art form)
--high OBP
--valuable 1 or 2 guy in the lineup
--first-to-third, stolen base guy
--awesome dugout and clubhouse presence (which can be over-rated, but not in his case)
--good hit-and-run guy because he doesn't strike out a lot
--good small-ball guy; moves the runners along, can bunt, hit to the right side, etc.
--good in the post-season, as his 12 RBIs in the 2013 Postseason and his two World Series rings show
--cheerful, motivational, wants to play every game kind of guy
You may be surprised to know that he was the 7th-best outfielder in all of baseball in 2013, according to his total value number on baseball-reference.com.
The problem is that in the last two years he hasn't been able to be on the field consistently. I doubt he's milking an injury, too; he wants to play. Now he'll get the chance, with a 1st-place team that should make the playoffs. He gets to play with Trout and Pujols, too, and he'll be a valuable 4th outfielder, pinch-runner, late inning defensive replacement kind of guy. If healthy, he can step in to a major role there, too. He's a free agent at the end of this season, so who knows where he'll be next?
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
1909 T206 HOF George Davis
The Card
Photo: T206 George Davis, front and back.
For those interested, I bought this card for $36.33, including shipping. T206.org says it's been selling recently at about $43, which is a very common value for a Hall of Fame T206 of a nondescript player in Poor condition. (Poor condition T206s of the big boys--Cobb, Young, Walter Johnson, etc.--still run a couple hundred bucks.) Anyway, that's a profit of $6.67. Not much. The Beckett Graded Card Price Guide (7th Ed. 2015) says it's been selling at about $50, which is a little high, on Ebay, anyway. That's a value of $13.67, which is a little better.
I'm just happy to have a T206 HOFer. I have about 15 of those now, most of them in Poor or Good condition, because that's what I can afford, ya know? This card is in good condition, for a Poor.
The Player / The Person
Photo: George Davis, while with the Chicago White Sox, from The Sporting News
Shockingly, the Veterans' Committee got it right when they inducted this guy into the Hall. Normally the Committee's inductions are abysmal, especially players inducted from this era. I've looked at a few of those lately, and when I checked Davis's card in my collection and I looked at his stats (via baseball-reference.com, just click it here to see), I was expecting more of the same.
But I was pleasantly surprised. You may have to know a bit about the time to appreciate Davis's stats. At a glance, they're not impressive. He led the league in an offensive category exactly once: 135 RBIs in 1897 for the New York Giants. (McGraw and Mathewson wouldn't join the Giants until later.) This is a lot, but for the 1890s, pretty common for a league leader. What impressed me a lot more was that between 1904 and 1908, the Chicago White Sox let him play full-time, in most of the team's games, although his offensive stats were way below the league's norms.
There's only one reason possible for this: Defense. From 1890 through 1902, Davis's offensive stats are good, but not great. They are, though, impressively consistent. And consistency in 1890s baseball, for 12 years, is very rare, whether it's offense or defense. The stats will pile up, as they did. So for peak value, Davis was not one of the best players in the league. But in career value, he was.
And then came 1904-1908 with the White Sox, and those rather unimpressive numbers. True, the game changed a little, but those are still bad stats. Why would he still be allowed to play full-time? Could his defense have been that good?
Yes. Turns out, it was.
His overall WAR (wins above replacement; click on the stat on the webpage if you're unfamiliar with it) was higher in 1904, 1905 and 1906 than it had been in any of his more impressive offensive years. This can only be due to his defense. Any dWAR (defensive wins above replacement) in the positive is good. (This happens a shockingly low amount of times, even for good players today.) Anything above 1 is really good; anything above 2 is Gold Glove worthy. Davis was a very good defensive player during his good offensive years (consistently between 1 and 2), but when his offensive skills eroded after 1903, when he sat out, due to problems with injury, salary, and constantly jumping between the Giants and the White Sox, and back (jumping teams was VERY common in the early 1900s, but his case was still odd. Read about it at his Wikipedia page here), he must've realized that if he was going to still play, his defense had to get even better.
And for a few years, it did. His defensive WAR, from 1904-1908, when his offense was terrible: 3.4; 2.8; 3.0; 2.9; 1.3. With his average to below-average offense, but his incredible GG (before there was a Gold Glove Award) defense, his overall WAR from 1904-1908: 7.2; 7.2; 6.3; 4.6 and 2.1. A 5+ is all-star worthy, and his defense alone made him 2 levels above that.
Over his 16-year career, the league averaged a .919 fielding percentage for the positions he played. Davis's fielding percentage was .936. At shortstop, the league's was .923 and his was .940.
If you're defending 17 percentage points higher than everyone else in the league, that's HOF exceptional. Combine that with 1,545 runs scored (56th all-time), 2,665 hits (69th all-time), 453 doubles (100th all-time), 163 triples (33rd all-time), 619 stolen bases (17th all-time), and 1,440 RBIs (63rd all-time), and you're a Hall-of-Fame player. JAWS says he's the 4th-best shortstop of all-time, and that's going head-to-head with Honus Wagner (#1), A-rod (#2) Cal Ripken (#3), Robin Yount (#5), Arky Vaughn (#6), Ernie Banks (#7) and Ozzie Smith (#8). Derek Jeter, if you're curious, is #12, ahead of Barry Larkin, Lou Boudreau, Pee Wee Reese and Bobby Wallace (a contemporary of George Davis's)--but behind Alan Trammel (#11)! [Take a look at Trammel's stats here and you'll be as amazed as I was. I assure you, nobody--including the announcers and players who were around him--realized he was that good. Alan Trammel, shockingly, is wildly deserving of the Hall of Fame. But that's another blog entry for another time.)] All of these guys, by the way, were way above the average HOF shortstop's stats. Normally shortstops can field, or they can hit, but they can't do both.
So why a blog entry about George Davis, who nobody in this generation (and in this century) has ever heard of?
Because he wasn't inducted into the HOF until 1998, and he died in 1940. It came 58 years too late, but finally someone dusted off his stats and saw the HOF.
Well, it started with Bill James, as these sabermetric things often do. I'll let the Wikipedia page tell it:
In a 1995 book, baseball author Bill James referred to Davis as baseball's best player who had not been inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame.[7]Also in 1995, Davis was featured in David Pietrusza's television film "Local Heroes" in the segment "Knocking on Cooperstown's Door."
In 1997, baseball researcher Frederick Ivor-Campbell said that Davis was "the most neglected player of the 19th century. He's definitely the best eligible player not in the Hall, and he's a lot better than a lot of guys already in."[8] Around the same time, Davis was rated the 21st best baseball player of all time in the official baseball encyclopedia, Total Baseball.[8]
Davis was up for a vote before the Hall of Fame's Veterans Committee in 1998. Before the committee voted, sportswriter Dave Anderson wrote an article in The New York Times on Davis's Hall of Fame candidacy. He pointed out the work of Cohoes city historian Walt Lipka, which favorably compared Davis to almost all of the shortstops in the Hall of Fame. Anderson supported Davis's election, saying, "It's as if he were discarded nearly a century ago into a time capsule that was forgotten until now... For too long, George Stacey Davis has been his era's most forgotten best player."[9] He was selected for induction that year.[4]
Prior to his Hall of Fame induction, a Society for American Baseball Research (SABR) chapter in New York put out a call to locate a descendant of Davis to be present at the induction ceremony and announced plans for a historical marker in Cohoes.[10] As a great deal of time had passed since his death, no relatives could be located, but a group of about 50 people from Cohoes traveled to the ceremony in support of Davis.[1]
Me again. I don't know if George Davis was the 21st best player of all-time, but he certainly belongs in the Hall. He was light years better than Phil Rizzuto, Joe Tinker, Rabbit Maranville, and lots of other marginal candidates who probably shouldn't be in the Hall, but who are. Davis got in so late that nobody was around to even honor his plaque.
And why was that? Well, that's not so Hall-of-Fame worthy, but hey, don't judge:
Davis returned to the minor leagues for one season as player-manager of the 1910 Des Moines Boosters.[6] He managed a bowling alley in the early 1910s. He was the Amherst College baseball coach from 1913 to 1918, then he became a car salesman.[3]
The circumstances of his death remained a mystery until baseball historian Lee Allen discovered its details through a campaign to track down historical baseball players, run in part in The Sporting News. Davis was admitted to a Philadelphia mental institution in 1934 suffering from paresis due to tertiary syphilis. He died in the institution in 1940.[3] Davis was survived by his wife Jane, who was said to have been angry at him when he died. They had no children. His wife spent $41 to have him buried within a day at nearby Fernwood Cemetery.
Me again. Yeah, so no kids to have kids to honor his HOF plaque 58 years after he died of syphilis. Of course, you can get syphilis many ways, then and now, but...well, his wife was really pissed at him, and buried him the day after he died, apparently sans wake and funeral. And it was a quickie burial, costing just $41, which sounds to me like someone dug a hole in the cemetery, threw him in, and filled up the hole. Maybe even without a coffin, and definitely without a chaplain or onlookers.
And that pretty much says it all.
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